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A man throws his ballot into an urn.
© Julian Stratenschulte/dpa/Symbolbild
The Hamburg citizenship will be re-elected in 2025.
The SPD and the Greens currently have a comfortable majority.
According to a survey, the red-green coalition could continue to govern - but the air would become thinner.
Hamburg - If there were a general election next Sunday, the red-green coalition could continue to govern in Hamburg, according to a survey - but with a significantly smaller majority.
According to the infratest dimap survey published by NDR on Wednesday, the SPD would remain the strongest force with 30 percent, but would lose more than 9 percentage points compared to the last general election.
The Greens would come in with slight losses at 21 percent (24.2), closely followed by the CDU, which at 20 percent is well above its last election result of a good 11 percent.
The AfD could continue to grow, but at 9 percent (5.3), it would remain in the single digits, unlike the national trend.
The Left would be back in the parliament with 7 percent (9.1) despite losses.
The FDP, on the other hand, would have to worry about moving in with 5 percent (4.9).
The Hamburg citizenship will be re-elected at the beginning of next year.
The SPD and the Greens currently have a whopping two-thirds majority in the town hall.
When it comes to politician satisfaction, Mayor Peter Tschentscher continues to lead the list with a clear lead: 55 percent of those surveyed were “satisfied” or “very satisfied” with the SPD man’s work.
However, his popularity remains behind that of the last state election campaign.
The second mayor Katharina Fegebank from the Greens also recorded a loss of popularity and is now at 36 percent.
Of the leaders of the opposition parties, left-wing faction leader Cansu Özdemir performed best (28 percent).
Only 20 percent of those surveyed are satisfied with CDU state party and parliamentary group leader Dennis Thering, followed by FDP MP Anna von Treuenfels-Frowein with 13 percent.
According to the survey, AfD parliamentary group leader Dirk Nockemann came last with 10 percent.
The parties interpreted the survey results consistently positively - each with their own approach: The SPD state chairmen Melanie Leonhard and Nils Weiland pointed out that they continued to set the tone as the strongest force in the Hanseatic city.
“The majority of Hamburg residents have trust in Mayor Peter Tschentscher and the SPD-led Senate,” they explained.
The SPD is trusted to overcome the current challenges and shape the future of Hamburg.
“This is a valuable asset in turbulent times.”
CDU opposition leader Thering emphasized the loss of approval for the work of the red-green Senate, while the CDU had gained trust.
He expects the general election to be a “real three-way fight”.
The CDU will “fight for every vote until the end,” he said.
“We are making a clear offer to those who are dissatisfied with the red-green Senate for more security, free-flowing traffic, a strong economy, a competitive port and good education.”
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Internal security is the CDU's central election campaign issue.
However, according to the survey, Hamburg residents have a rather positive feeling of security.
Seven out of ten respondents (70 percent) said they felt “very” or “somewhat safe” in public spaces, streets and parks.
“The CDU’s strategy of raising the issue of internal security as an election campaign issue has not caught on,” said Green Party state chairwoman Maryam Blumenthal.
Your party has managed to establish itself as a consistently strong political force.
“We see this as a mandate to continue working to ensure that Hamburg remains a diverse and cosmopolitan city.”
Compared to the national trend, 7 percent is a stable value for the left in Hamburg - “with room for improvement, which we will use,” said state spokeswoman Sabine Ritter.
With Cansu Özdemir we have the third most popular politician among citizens.
“We are and we remain, according to the lesson of this snapshot, the social conscience and the human rights party in the town hall.”
The FDP wants to return to town hall as a parliamentary group in the coming legislature.
“The survey is a good starting point for us a year before the national elections and a few months before the district and European elections,” said state chairwoman Sonja Jacobsen, also in view of the continued tight values.
AfD parliamentary group leader Dirk Nockemann sees his party still on the rise - despite what he claims is a “dirty campaign”.
“At 9 percent, we have a result that is almost twice as strong as the 2020 general election,” he said.
After the CDU, the AfD achieved the largest gain in votes.
“Despite the massive anti-AfD agitation, the AfD is also firmly established in Hamburg.”
According to the survey, a large majority in the city, 76 percent of those surveyed, currently see right-wing extremism as a “very big” or “great danger” to democracy in Germany.
A good fifth (22 percent) question this.
“Like the majority of Hamburg residents, we also see the right-wing extremist activities as a challenge to our free coexistence,” emphasized the SPD state chairmen Leonhard and Wieland.
“Together with all democratic forces in Hamburg, it is our task to stand up to the enemies of the constitution in parliaments and back rooms.” Green Party leader Blumenthal also sees it as the task of all democratic forces in the city to take a clear stand against racism and misanthropy.
The AfD has gained in Hamburg, said CDU leader Thering.
However, in the Hanseatic city it remains well below the national trend.
"That is a good thing!"
The party representatives agreed that the survey results were just an indication of the mood.
“But it remains purely a snapshot,” said SPD parliamentary group leader Dirk Kienscherf.
“One thing is clear: we are facing major challenges.”
The survey institute infratest dimap surveyed 1,164 eligible voters on behalf of NDR from February 1st to 5th.
Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty.
Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected.
In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.
dpa