The basic bill that had been generally approved on Friday of last week and this Tuesday
failed in the House of Representatives
was a watershed, but not the one the President imagined.
The legislative defeat of the ruling party pushes changes in the dynamics of the Government and in the relationship with the governors and the opposition.
Time and time again, presidential spokesperson Manuel Adorni insisted in his press conference that
sooner rather than later the omnibus law
will be a reality.
However, in the Casa Rosada there are those who point out that the project that returned to zero "
is dead
", as the legislative history indicates.
High government sources maintain in any case that the project will continue its legislative process.
In Milei's Cabinet there are diverse ideas about the possibility of
calling a non-binding popular consultation
.
At the President's small table they rule out that option due to
the risk that a defeat would entail, the time and the cost
.
As the hours go by and in public, however, the alternative is promoted with more vehemence.
“
All constitutional tools are being evaluated
.”
The decision will be made to take the correct path or one that takes greater speed,” said Adorni, in constant communication with Javier and Karina Milei, on tour in Israel.
These tools also include
new DNU and simple decrees
(which kill previous decrees and administrative resolutions) to deregulate sensitive areas of the economy, a field in which
Federico Sturnezegger
works , a key advisor who remains without being officially named and evaluates which office occupy in La Rosada.
Traitors and more fit
When thinking about a popular consultation, the libertarian administration highlights the close antecedent of the Uruguayan
Luis Lacalle Pou
, who in 2022 obtained the majority of the votes to avoid the repeal of 135 articles of his own omnibus law.
They point out that the
political pressure
of a resounding result in favor of the Government would force the opposition to recalculate.
From the President on down, we speak plainly of “
traitors
”, an epithet to indicate the deputies who voted in favor of the law in general, but against it in particular.
Milei endorsed with posts and
likes
on social networks the criticism of the provincial leaders and the opposition blocs whom he had thanked on Friday.
Not all governors fell into the same bag.
In the Executive they target
Gustavo Sáenz
from Salta ,
Carlos Sadir
from Jujuy ,
Rolando Figueroa
from Neuquén and especially against
Martín Llaryora
from Córdoba and
Maximiliano Pullaro
from Santa Fe .
The governor of Santa Fe was scheduled to meet this Wednesday with the Minister of Economy, but the Government suspended the meeting.
Luis Caputo
, who had called for silence and spoke with Llaryora by phone on Tuesday, reappeared after the silence he imposed on himself after lowering the tax chapter.
“In January, which is a more financially sensitive month because the debt interest is being paid, we are already in financial balance, and without law,” minimized the minister, who once again
promised more adjustment to meet the deficit goal. zero
.
In the Government, like Milei on social networks, they are more sharp when analyzing the economic effects of the law.
“Those who applauded when the session adjourned will have to take charge.
They also applauded the default in 2001
,” they compared regarding the decline in bonds on Wall Street.
The story of Milei vs.
caste deepens.
For now, Milei does not hold responsible the officials and legislative authorities who led the negotiations with the opposition: the Minister of the Interior
Guillermo Francos
, the president of Deputies Martín Menem and the head of the libertarian bloc
Oscar Zago
.
The first two met at noon at the Casa Rosada to analyze the state of the situation.
The president has already shown that he can change quickly.
He sacrificed the designated provisional president of the senate
Francisco Paoltroni
before he took office and fired (
although not yet on paper
) the Minister of Infrastructure
Guillermo Ferraro
.
Francos, who announced that he has no plans to resign, will travel to Italy on Friday to join the President's delegation.
He changed his ticket originally scheduled for Thursday, because he was betting that the session would last 72 hours.
Zago and Francos were exposed
for reiterating in the media that the general approval of the project was maintained, although the Deputies' regulations indicate the opposite.
In any case, the Government insists that the
alleged betrayal of the deputies was a probable option
.
Now the ruling party maintains that there will be no need to extend the extraordinary sessions that ended on February 15.
"Everything will have to be recalculated," explained an LLA authority in Congress.
New fiscal pact
The Executive planned to negotiate with the governors a new fiscal pact once the basic law was approved by Congress.
In that package was the
reversal of Profits
demanded by the provincial leaders, who also intended to discuss in that instance the sharing of the Country tax that Milei resisted and the reduction of withholdings.
Now everything was on stand-by.
“
Let them pay their salaries as they can
,” said an official source.
Beyond the Government's political references, the head of ANSES
Osvaldo Giordano
, former Minister of Finance under Juan Schiaretti, was left in a compromised situation.
His wife, Córdoba deputy Alejandra Torres, voted against the sensitive articles of the law.
The Secretary of Mining and former Massista official,
Flavia Royón
from Salta , who answers to the governor of her province, was also exposed.
In La Rosada they maintain that the President intends to differentiate management from politics.