An all-or-nothing South American classic with the added bonus of being able to automatically eliminate your longtime rival.
Argentina
will face
Brazil
this Sunday on the last date of the final quadrangular of the
Venezuela Pre-Olympic
, which will define the two tickets available for South America for the
Paris 2024 Games
.
The match is played from 5:30 p.m. at the National Brígido Iriarte stadium in Caracas, with the arbitration of the Chilean Cristián Garay and transmission by
TyC Sports
and
DSports
.
What does Argentina need to qualify for Paris 2024?
Argentina arrives with two points, after drawing 2-2 with Venezuela and 3-3 with Paraguay, and Brazil with three, due to its last victory over Venezuela (2-1), added to the initial defeat against the Guaraníes.
There is only one alternative for the Albiceleste, gold medalist in Athens 2004 and Beijing 2008: win.
Furthermore, it would leave Brazil without options.
If they triumph, the Albiceleste would be champions of the Pre-Olympic Championship if Paraguay loses, although a Paraguayan draw could help them depending on the number of goals they score.
Any result other than a victory would eliminate the team led by Javier Mascherano despite having a squad with top-level players such as
Thiago Almada
, world champion with the National Team in Qatar 2022.
What does Brazil need to qualify for Paris 2024?
Winner of gold in soccer at the Rio 2016 and Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games, Brazil will have the right to go to Paris-2024 if it beats Argentina, regardless of what happens between Venezuela and Paraguay.
A draw could also be enough
.
Equalizing with the Albiceleste would help the Seleçao to become Olympic again in the event of a Paraguayan victory or draw and also in most scenarios in the event of a Venezuelan victory.
In that last situation there would be a triple tie in the quadrangular between Brazil, Venezuela and Paraguay, which would be broken by the direct duels between these teams in this instance, in which Endrick and John Kennedy's team lost 1-0 against Albirroja and beat Vinotinto 2-1.
It would condemn Ramon Menezes' team if a draw of their own was combined with a victory for Venezuela against Paraguay by the slightest difference with a score of at least 3-2
.
By maintaining parity in points scored in the matches between those involved in a possible triple tie and in the goal difference in those clashes, the total number of goals scored would end up uneven in favor of the Venezuelans and Paraguayans.
If the result of the hypothetical victory of Vinotinto accompanying a Brazilian tie was 2-1, there would be absolute parity between those selected in a triple tie.
The criterion would become
goal difference in the entire final phase
and, later,
goals scored
.
The five-time world champions would need a high score in their match.
Red and yellow cards could end up being the deciding factor and, in the last resort, a draw.
If it wins, Brazil would also be champion of the Pre-Olympic as long as Paraguay does not win against Venezuela.
What does Paraguay need to qualify for Paris 2024?
Only a defeat against Venezuela would prevent Paraguay from going to Paris 2024 under the direction of Carlos Jara Saguier, silver medal winner at the head of Albirroja in Athens 2004, when they lost against Argentina.
Victory would guarantee the Guaraníes being champions of the Pre-Olympic, with seven points, regardless of the result of Brazil-Argentina.
A draw with Vinotinto could help them achieve that, although it would depend on the result of the clash between Menezes and Mascherano's teams.
What does Venezuela need to qualify for Paris 2024?
Although it occupies the last place in the final quadrangular,
Venezuela depends on itself
.
If Vinotinto defeats Paraguay they will reach the Olympic Games.
If they win and in turn there is a winner between Brazil and Argentina, Vinotinto would break an eventual four-point tie with Paraguay due to the direct result between the two.
If they win and Brazil-Argentina ends equal, the triple tie between Brazilians, Venezuelans and Paraguayans would favor them due to the goal tie-breaking criteria.
The triple tie scenario would open a gap for the team coached by Argentine
Ricardo Valiño
to be proclaimed champion of the Pre-Olympic, but they would have to win by two or more goals.