As of: February 13, 2024, 5:15 a.m
By: Jens Kiffmeier
Comments
Press
Split
Ukraine is running out of ammunition.
In the West, people are preparing for all scenarios - including a victory by Russia's army and a wave of refugees.
Berlin - The Ukrainian front is increasingly turning out to be fragile: In view of supply problems, there is growing concern in the West that the defenders will be defeated in the fight against Russia's invading army.
Various scenarios for a possible defeat of Ukraine are apparently already being played out within the German security authorities.
Above all, the threat of a mass exodus of Ukrainians is taking up a lot of space in the Federal Ministry of the Interior's mind games, reports
Welt am Sonntag
.
According to the report, many parliamentarians and security experts are alarmed by the current developments in the Ukraine war.
If defeated by Russia's army: Germany expects mass exodus from Ukraine
“If Ukraine were to lose the war, many more than ten million refugees could come to the EU,” migration researcher Gerald Knaus told the newspaper.
The war in Ukraine is already dealing with one of the largest refugee movements in Europe, he added.
Since the start of the Russian war of aggression in February 2022, more than a million people have already fled from Ukraine to Germany alone.
Shortly after the start of the war in Ukraine, Germany experienced an influx of refugees.
Now many are asking themselves again: What happens if we lose to Russia?
(Archive image) © Michael Matthey/dpa
In total, the Russian war of aggression has forced more than six million people to flee in the two years.
The UN refugee agency UNHCR reports that millions more are internally displaced within Ukraine.
The number of Ukrainian citizens in Germany is currently around 1.1 million.
Ukraine War: Russia is currently launching new offensives on many fronts
The Ukrainian army is under considerable pressure.
Above all, the lack of soldiers and artillery shells poses considerable difficulties for the armed forces, which is why Russia's army recently went on the offensive again on many sectors of the front.
In particular, the lack of aid from the United States has recently made the situation worse.
US President Joe Biden wants to help Ukraine with a military package worth $60 billion, but the plan is being rejected in the US Senate under pressure from Republicans.
Biden's challenger Donald Trump in particular is campaigning against new military aid.
In view of the lack of US aid, CDU foreign policy expert Roderich Kiesewetter now sees Europe as having a greater responsibility to support Ukraine.
He emphasized the need for a significant increase in military aid from EU supporting states: “If we do not change our strategy in supporting Ukraine, the worst-case scenario will be a mass exodus from Ukraine and an expansion of the war to NATO countries “much more likely,” he told
Welt am Sonntag
.
“Then ten million refugees is a lower assumption.”
Röttgen on the situation in the Ukraine war: Only arms aid can prevent migration to Germany
The exact development of migration remains uncertain, as neither the Interior Ministry nor the Federal Police wanted to make precise forecasts, according to the report.
Nevertheless, CDU foreign policy expert Norbert Röttgen also urged that Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) should assume his leadership role within the EU.
The German head of government must ensure that the US bottleneck is compensated for.
“The fact that Ukraine is running out of ammunition is a European failure,” Röttgen told the
Augsburger Allgemeine
.
My news
No immunity: Trump now turns to the Supreme Court
Russia and SpaceX reject Starlink allegations – Ukrainian secret service remains steadfast
Tanks in urban warfare: Putin is threatened with a new catastrophe like in Groznylesen
Ukraine threatens serious loss of Avdiivka: Kiev takes risks
Putin's troops in trouble: Swedish tank mixes up the Ukrainian front
Rattling “Renaissance”: Tanks will play a major role in the war of the futureread
Escape because of the war in Ukraine: Accommodation for refugees alone poses problems for communities
But within the federal government they probably want to prepare for the worst-case scenario.
If Ukraine actually collapses, Germany would be one of the main target countries.
An influx of refugees would require the federal, state and local governments to make considerable efforts both in terms of accommodation and in arranging work permits.
(
jkf
)
Editor Jens Kiffmeier wrote this article and then used an AI language model for optimization at his own discretion. All information has been carefully checked. Find out more about our AI principles here.