More than a year ago, when the majority of politicians pigeonholed
Javier Milei
as a phenomenon limited to Buenos Aires TV, a consulting firm decided to measure him in the favorite ring of Peronism: the
Buenos Aires suburbs
.
And there, the rising libertarian economist/panelist showed numbers that already spoke of
a phenomenon with projection at the country level
.
Now, confirmed his national stature and as President, the same pollster evaluated him again in the same place.
And
the alert sounded in the opposite direction
.
Milei's numbers
dropped sharply
in the
24 games of Greater Buenos Aires
, perhaps
confirming that the adjustment is hitting
particularly hard in this territory.
The firm that carried out the study is
CB Consultora Opinión Pública
, one of those that best predicted the 2023 elections. Between Tuesday the 13th and Saturday the 17th of this month, it surveyed from
600 to 681 cases per municipality
.
He presented the results with a margin of error of 3% to 4%.
The comparison was made with the numbers that Milei had achieved in the same places in December, as soon as he assumed. The change is profound (for the worse): in the first survey, the President had more positive than negative image in 16 of the 24 districts; now, he's barely three.
More samples?
Milei worsened its numbers in all municipalities
.
On average, she lowered her positive image by 6.5 points each.
The 8 where it goes best
The
cream of the ranking
for Milei continues to be in the
North of the Conurbano
.
There are the
three municipalities
in which the President maintains
a favorable image differential
.
Where he is doing best, curiously (or not so much) is in Tigre, the small district of Sergio Massa, his rival in the runoff. It is one of the only two districts where the President exceeds 50 positive image points. It reaches 52%, with 42.8% negative.
In any case, as explained, he also lost support in this party.
Its
favorable rating was reduced by 5 points
compared to December.
The other municipality with more than 50% positive was
San Isidro
.
It reached
51.8%
,
6.8 points less
than in the previous measurement.
The negative there was 43.2%.
The third game in which Milei obtained a positive balance was
Vicente López:
+ 49.5%
(
he fell 4.8
points) and - 44%.
In all cases, 100% completed with the "ns/nc".
The rest of the districts where it did better, but with more rejection than support, are:
San Fernando
: 44.5% positive (
down 6.2 points
) and 52.5% negative.
San Miguel
: + 42.5% (
down 6.7
) and - 51.6%.
Ituzaingó
: + 42.1% (
down 6.5
) and - 53%.
San Martín
: + 42% (
down 7.7
) and - 52.7%.
Third of February
: + 41.1% (
down 7.4
) and - 51.2%.
The 8 worst
If the upper part of Milei's image table in the GBA is dominated by the municipalities of the North,
the lower part is dominated by the neighborhoods of the South (and part of the West)
, where Peronism is usually stronger.
Including La Matanza, a province in itself.
In all these districts, the President was left with less than 40 positive points.
And in one,
Almirante Brown
, where things went worst,
he exceeded 60 negative points
.
Here is the complete list of "the 8 worst", where the declines in the positive image ranged between 5.5 and 8 points compared to December.
Lomas de Zamora
: + 38.2% (
down 7.2 points
) and - 56.7%.
Berazategui
: + 37.7% (
down 6.2
) and - 55.9%.
La Matanza
: + 37.5% (
down 6.5
) and - 56.6%.
Lanús
: + 37.5% (
down 5.5
) and - 58%.
Moreno
: + 36.9% (
down 8
) and - 58%.
Malvinas Argentinas
: + 36% (
down 6.9
) and - 59%.
Avellaneda
: + 33.9% (
down 6.4
) and - 59.8%.
Admiral Brown
: + 33.5% (
down 7.5
) and - 61.2%.
The middle 8
Finally, as part of the statistical sandwich, there are 8 municipalities in which the President has a
very even image
, around 39/41 positive points and 52/56 negative points.
Here the detail:
Hurlingham
: + 40.9% (
down 6.6
) and - 52.3%.
Morón
: + 40.7% (
down 7.9
) and - 54.5%.
Merlo
: + 40.1% (
down 6.1
) and - 53.3%.
Ezeiza
: + 39.5% (
down 4.8
) and - 54%.
Esteban Echeverría
: + 39.3% (
down 6.2
) and - 55.3%.
José C. Paz
: + 39.1% (
down 7.5
) and - 55.8%.
Quilmes
: + 39% (
down 5.8
) and - 56.3%.
Florencio Varela
: + 38.8% (
down 6
) and - 54.7%.