Even if the Israeli attacks on Gaza have now stopped, in the coming months at least another 6,500 Palestinians will die due to the health crisis in which the Strip is immersed.
It is a brutal figure, which is added to the 30,000 deaths in four and a half months.
The worst thing is that this is the most optimistic projection prepared by independent researchers for the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and Johns Hopkins University in the United States.
Until May, experts will update their data for three possible scenarios: the first, that there is a permanent ceasefire and there are no epidemics;
the second, that things continue as they were until last January.
And the third, that the conflict worsens.
It is difficult to think that the lives of Palestinians in Gaza could get any worse.
But they will do so if, as Netanyahu has been announcing for weeks, the Israeli army attacks Rafah.
In the last city in the south of the Strip, on the border with Egypt, more than a million displaced people are crowded together.
Living, they themselves say, like animals: in tents or shanties, without drinking water, medicine or toilets, with many amputees fearing that their wounds will become infected because there is garbage everywhere.
There are no crops left: Israeli bulldozers have destroyed them.
And we know all this thanks to fleeting calls that Gazans make to their contacts abroad, to humanitarian workers and to local reporters who continue to risk their lives, because Israel continues not to let international media through, except on rare and embedded occasions. with his army.
We are moving towards the most tragic scenario, in which 75,000 Gazans will die before the end of the summer, according to researchers.
Even so, the urgency does not transfer to politics.
In the European Union, the 27 cannot agree on demanding a ceasefire, or even humanitarian pauses, due to Hungary's veto.
Nor has the International Court of Justice's order for Israel to deliver humanitarian aid to the Strip and prevent acts of genocide: the World Food Program has stopped delivering food there after desperate citizens looted its trucks.
They suffer, said a WHO doctor, from an explosive combination of hunger and disease from which it will be impossible for them to escape as long as the siege continues.
@anafuentesf
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