Javier Milei needs the approval of the Omnibus Law: he considers it the key to attracting investments that allow a
rapid reactivation of the economy
.
Two sources from the small table confirmed to
Clarín
their conviction that the governors will give them their votes financially stifled and given the need for the Income Tax to be restored.
The message that Milei sends to the governors is that
the Nation is willing to discuss the fiscal package
if other reforms are approved first.
She not only puts the Omnibus Law back on the table but also asks that a labor reform bill and a provisional reform bill be discussed that will include a new retirement formula.
"The Bases law is not touched. It is approved that way or it is not treated. The fiscal package is discussed later based on that result," a member of the small table told this newspaper.
The Minister of Economy overturns the decision.
He relies on the good number that the public accounts gave him in January thanks to the liquidation of salaries and pensions and the drastic cut of funds to the provinces.
A report by economist Nadin Argañaraz highlighted that non-automatic transfers sent by the Nation to provinces during the month of January 2024 were the lowest in the last 31 years.
National capital transfers sent to Provinces in January 2024. The $2,581 million were the lowest in the last 31 years.
Compared to the 1993-2023 average ($175,000 million at constant January 2024 prices), they were 98.5% lower.
Virtual elimination.
pic.twitter.com/sNwN1e9Doh
— Nadin Argañaraz (@NadinArganaraz) February 22, 2024
"If a province cannot pay teachers or has a police barracks, it will be the
problem of the governor of that province
," they say at the Treasury Palace.
Economy focuses on the approval of the labor reform and the Large Investment Incentive Regime that includes a series of tax exemptions for large companies in the mining and energy sector (the Cosquín Rock tax exemptions are bad, Milei's are good).
Toto Caputo is fascinated by Milei and the international interest it arouses.
The minister's enthusiasm for the possibility of investments is confirmed in the embassies of the G7 countries in Buenos Aires.
In dialogue with this newspaper, everyone confirmed the objective of “reprioritizing” Argentina in their agendas.
"Argentina is a Ferrari, it was without wheels and without a driver. Now they put the covers on it and it has a karting driver. It is not going to go at 350 km/h as it could, but at 80 km/h it can go," they argue.
Gathering votes for Milei or for the governors will not be easy.
The
dynamics of pressure, improvisation, commitments armed by one official and disarmed by another
, added to the public mistreatment with all legislators equally that Milei implemented in the extraordinary sessions ended up dynamiting the dialogue opposition.
The leaders of Together for Change are divided and do not have a consensual position on what position to take towards Milei.
The legislators are
trapped between the mistreatment that Milei gives them daily and the fear of social pressure
– they do not want to be seen as obstacles to a government that still has fresh support from the polls.
For the majority there is a limit: staying attached to Kirchnerism.
Kirchnerism
does not have the weight to instill terror in Deputies
- it lacks 30 to achieve a quorum and that means it is not a threat to anyone - but in the Senate it only needs four wills to open a session and if Milei continues facing governors, It will not be a difficult task to add them.
Victoria Villarruel, in the Senate.
It has been blocking the possibility of treating the DNU.
Photo: Federico Lopez Claro
The first challenge may be the mega DNU.
To overturn it in the Senate, Kirchnerism is one step away.
That is why Victoria Villarruel systematically refused to call the special session that Unión por la Patria had already requested on three occasions.
The head of the PRO bloc, Cristian Ritondo, revealed that there is consensus to advance with the reform of the hydrocarbon law, the investment regime, and that education be declared essential.
The moratorium and money laundering also had support, but that would go with the fiscal package.
Beyond the progress of the conversations between Macri and Milei,
converging in the same block or interblock with LLA is ruled out for now
.
On the yellow bench they do not want to take charge of the libertarian debutants who are already all fighting with everyone.
The possibility of a decent departure of Martín Menem from the presidency of Deputies so that Ritondo takes his place is also ruled out.
“Political logic indicates that running Martín or Francos now would be a sign of enormous weakness.
“Expanding the alliance system is enough,” says a PRO leader.
The leader sees the possibility of a concrete coalition with Milei
only in view of the 2025 legislative elections
.
Meanwhile, they buy time to see if the Milei plan works or not.
In Deputies they assure that their 37 deputies are on the same page.
“They are all inside.
Even the eight that come from the larretista circle
.
The other blocks have the problem,” they confide.