“We cannot do magic.”
The ruling party seeks to assimilate and mitigate the
harsh defeat that is coming
in the Senate: shortly there will finally be a session in which
Javier Milei
's mega DNU will be rejected .
The
porting
they manage in La Libertad Avanza indicates that there are already more than 40 senators -
that is, a comfortable majority -
willing to vote against the controversial presidential decree.
In the corridors of the Upper House it is said that Vice President
Victoria Villarruel has already conveyed
the bad picture of the situation
to the Casa Rosada .
In
classic political manuals
, the only way to interpret the rejection of the DNU would be as a historic defeat for the Government.
Never before has a legislative chamber voted against a decree.
Will Milei try to make up for that fall or will she genuinely not take it as such?
A government official told
Clarín
that the President may not take it as a defeat but as an opportunity to once again expose - as he did with the Omnibus Law - the legislators who "perversely play to look good but then do not accompany you." .
Video
The senator from Unión por la Patria has "provisions that are absolutely unconstitutional."
This Monday it emerged that nine senators from different blocks presented a note to Villarruel in which they asked him to set the day and time for a session in which the DNU should be discussed.
The request
did not take her by surprise
: the vice president already knew that this request was coming because it came precisely from the dialogue blocks.
Peronist bench in the Senate.
Photo: Federico López Claro.
The Peronist bloc, which is the majority and groups 33 senators, has already made similar requests in recent weeks,
but without success
.
Now that the period of extraordinary sessions is over and the ordinary sessions begin, the opportunity opens up to go to a session without Villarruel setting it up.
Of course: with its 33 seats it is not enough.
4 are missing for quorum.
Where could he fish?
Among the 9 senators who have just requested the special session.
But with their move, those senators made it clear that they do not want to be the tailgate of Kirchnerism's strategy.
What is clear is that Villarruel
will no longer have any more ways to stop
a session.
How to cushion defeat
What the ruling party can do is seek
to mitigate
the impact of the defeat.
For this reason, La Libertad Avanza and sectors of the dialogue opposition began to negotiate so that, simultaneously with the rejection of the DNU, they can move forward with bills linked to sensitive issues that appear in the decree.
It would be, they say, the possibility of showing
a proactive role.
The plan is to move forward, for example, with a
labor reform.
Not with very irritating issues for unions, but with others that seem to gather greater consensus, such as fines for employers or aggravated compensation.
The plan, if it works, would be for the first article to establish that the labor chapter of the DNU is repealed and that it is replaced by that legislative initiative.
Along these lines, the ruling party began to speed up the integration of the commissions that remain unformed.
The ruling party would have a period of 10 days to advance with its strategy.
There would be a commitment from the dialogue blocs that before that deadline the DNU will not be discussed on the premises.
The radical senator Pablo Blanco signed the request for a session to discuss the DNU.
Photo: Juano Tesone.
If it is rejected by the Senate, to fall the decree
must also be rejected by Deputies
.
The Government says that it is unlikely that this will happen quickly because it will have to be dealt with in committee and the legislative deadlines.
Maybe
it would be playing with fire
.
If a majority is created in the Senate, it is very likely that it will be replicated in the Lower House, especially with the context of the President attacking legislators and governors.
What is not clear is whether the ruling party's strategy in the Senate has the endorsement of the Casa Rosada.
The path to soften the defeat - a diagonal between the optimal and the possible, in the words of one official -
will it please Milei and her small table?
The risk could be that they remain prisoners of a negotiation because they could not move forward with the changes they wanted to impose.
At the top of the Government,
contradictory positions seem to coexist
.
We will have to see which one prevails.
Opening of sessions in prime time television
The opening of ordinary sessions of Congress will be this Friday at 9 p.m. The usual thing is that the inauguration of the ordinary sessions occurs during the morning.
The schedule was set through a decree that bears the signatures of Javier Milei and the Chief of Staff,
Nicolás Posse
.
At the beginning of the legislative year, the President addresses the senators and deputies with a speech.
According to the sources consulted, the choice of time was not accidental: Milei
ensures prime time television, the one with the highest audience
.
Will this be an indication that the President will charge against Congress again?