On video: downing of a UAV, Lebanon, February 26, 2024/documentation on social networks according to Article 27 A of the Copyright Law
Hezbollah has been trying for several months to shoot down an Air Force aircraft over the skies of Lebanon.
And when you try a lot - in the end you succeed.
Yesterday, the operatives of the terrorist organization succeeded in launching a surface-to-air missile and hitting an Israeli Zik-type remote-manned aerial vehicle. This constitutes a type of attempt to attack the leadership of the IDF, which for 24/7 collects intelligence on the activities of Hezbollah and Iran in the area and is correct to thwart intentions Terrorism.
So why did the IDF have to react with a heavy hand to the shooting down of the helicopter? Because part of shaping the limits of the limited campaign in the northern arena is about the freedom of air action and not only about the launching of anti-tank missiles, rockets, and suicide helicopters on the Israeli home front.
From 2006 There is an ongoing campaign between Hezbollah and the IDF, and the Shia organization will do everything to offset or damage Israeli air freedom of action.
The unwritten laws were very clear and sharp for Hassan Nasrallah and he strives to change them for "the day after".
Hezbollah's drone in the name of Israel/documentation on social networks according to Article 27 A of the Copyright Law
The harsh critics of the government's policy claim that Hezbollah has wreaked havoc on the Israeli side, and has created a kind of security belt in Israeli territory.
In several operations, the terrorist organization succeeded in causing the removal of tens of thousands of civilians from Kiryat Shmona and the settlements adjacent to the fence without crossing the border line with a single terrorist.
The opponents of the war claim at this stage that Hizbullah has paid a heavy price so far in killing senior commanders, terrorist infrastructures that he worked on for twenty years.
This is in addition to the destruction of an arsenal of weapons that he advanced to southern Lebanon, and the displacement of tens of thousands of Lebanese citizens from their homes.
Despite the criticism and allegations, the Israeli and Lebanese sides pretty much maintain the framework of the limited campaign and from time to time break through the envelope of reactions.
This happened last Monday, when the IDF attacked Baalbak near the Syrian border and eliminated Hezbollah operatives for the first time within 100 km of the border.
He then eliminated a Hezbollah brigadier general, the fifth senior officer to be eliminated from the Shia organization, including the commander of the Radwan force. Each of them is a punch in the stomach to Nasrallah. The security reality is far from a situation of uncontrollable escalation. The explosive in the air.
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As an armed Israeli Heron-1 (Shuvel) UAV of Squadron 200/IDF Spokesman, Air Force
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It is impossible to ignore that there is a threat in the air to hit manned planes of the Air Force, as happened in 2018 on the Syrian border after 34 years of silence.
At this rate, it is not possible to return the residents to their homes, even if Hizbollah puts out the fire.
So the next question is how will the current campaign end?
Is it through the ceasefire subject to a political agreement?
Is it by expanding the conflict in the radius of action and the scope of the fire and the type of targets?
Or perhaps in a deterioration to a war that includes a large-scale ground maneuver?
Given a situation in which the political echelon decides on a war that has no choice in order to return citizens to their homes, the IDF will have to avoid being dragged into war but be the party that chooses the right timing for it and surprise with a broad pre-emptive attack - including centers of gravity in the state of Lebanon. The Air Force and intelligence have all the tools To carry out such a powerful attack, and only after that to start a ground maneuver, despite the heavy price that the Israeli rear will pay.
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Hassan Nasrallah
as a UAV