Two weeks ago, and after a long silence,
Cristina Kirchner
altered the political scene with a very extensive letter that she published on social networks.
There she questioned
Javier Milei
, but above all his economic plan.
The President answered her moderately (for her explosive style) and attention focused on a question:
why did the former president reappear?
Speculation ranged from the fact that he did not want to disappear from public discussion to the fact that he sought to draw attention to an imminent agreement between the libertarians with the PRO and a dollarization advance.
In this context of intrigue, one thing is certain: Cristina follows the political and economic situation very closely. This is also confirmed by the extensive report that has just been sent to the former president, with data from Milei and her Government.
It is a
20-page document
from
Analogies
, the Kirchners' leading consulting firm.
She was the official pollster in the campaign for Buenos Aires senator in 2017 and since then she has worked fully for the Instituto Patria.
Between February 20 and 23, the firm surveyed
2,495 telephone cases
, and presented the results with +/- 2% margin of error.
In addition to the usual information that these works usually contain - the image of the President, approval of the national administration and economic expectations - the report includes specific measurements that
would reveal some of the former president's concerns
: for example, the population's support for eventual dollarization.
Main conclusions
At the beginning of the report, there is a
summary of conclusions
.
Says so:
Fall of Milei's image and absolute polarization
: "The image of President Milei, which presented a positive differential of 5 points in January, reduced that indicator to less than half a percentage point, so that his positive and negative opinions are almost equal" .
The last national Analogies survey that approached Cristina.
Fall in expectations and the impact of the adjustment
: "Economic expectations also deteriorated slightly: pessimistic opinions prevail over optimistic ones. In this sense, a clear majority expressed again that the adjustment falls on workers and retirees, and that it will occur social resistance.
The last national Analogies survey that approached Cristina.
The last national Analogies survey that approached Cristina.
Federal system at risk?
"A particular situation regarding the public agenda is that we completed the field work almost simultaneously with the unfolding of an unprecedented and severe jurisdictional conflict between the Nation and the province of Chubut. Before the conflict unleashed with the governors due to the controversy with Chubut (Friday, February 23), we consulted about the perception of a possible risk regarding the federal system and national integration and the opinions were divided almost equally: half of those who expressed an opinion on the subject considered that the integrity is at risk nationalism and federalism".
The last national Analogies survey that approached Cristina.
Against dollarization
: "On the other hand, the majority opinions against dollarization remain stable and persistent. The two main battering rams to carry out the Minarchist program for the elimination of the State, as we know it until today, are the rupture of the federal system and national integrity, on the one hand, and the elimination of the currency, via dollarization, on the other. The clear rejection of the dollarization of the economy and an incipient alert about national integrity contradict the presidential premise that this "it was the electorally validated program."
The last national Analogies survey that approached Cristina.
The destruction of the State
: "The presidential attempt to transform a demand for change in economic policy into a mandate to destroy the national State seems to be surprising important sectors of public opinion, even many of those who voted for it thinking about the need for some type of economic adjustment to stop the inflationary escalation".
Need for consensus
: "In a similar sense, in the largely accepted vision of the functioning of representative democracy in Argentina, a clear majority (around 50% of those surveyed) stated that consensus with legislators and governors is necessary and valid. to advance legislative reforms.
Officials also ask for agreements
: "Strikingly, the distribution of these responses by segment of opinion is very regular; that is, even those surveyed with official opinions demand that the Government agree with the forces of democracy on an eventual adjustment program. As As can be seen, this is a demand that is very far from the imposition, revenge and vulgar aggression that seems to guide the presidential conduct, aimed at implementing an eccentric program that lacks any electoral legitimacy."
The last national Analogies survey that approached Cristina.
One of the most interesting tables, which is not highlighted in the introduction with the conclusions, is the one that asks about responsibility for current inflation. The majority continues to point to the Government of Alberto Fernández + Cristina Kirchner + Sergio Massa.