As of: February 28, 2024, 3:38 a.m
By: Christian Stör, Stefan Krieger, Simon Schröder
Comments
Press
Split
Next round of the US primaries, this time in the “swing state” Michigan.
Before Donald Trump and Joe Biden, the last hurdle before “Super Tuesday”.
The news ticker.
Well ahead in
the polls
: Former President Donald Trump is likely to clearly win again against Nikky Haley
US primaries
in
Michigan
: The war in Israel could cost US President Joe Biden votes
Republicans and Democrats are looking for their candidates for the 2024 US election. This news ticker about the US primaries in Michigan will be continuously updated.
Update from February 28th, 3:30 a.m.:
No surprise:
As expected, Donald Trump won the primary election for the Republican presidential nomination in the state of Michigan.
The US broadcasters
CNN
and
NBC
reported this on Tuesday evening (February 27, local time), citing their own forecasts.
As expected, Trump's competitor Nikki Haley suffered a clear defeat - after around 10 percent of the votes were counted, the two were a good 30 percentage points apart.
US President Joe Biden also won the Democratic primary in Michigan, as expected, according to US broadcasters' forecasts.
The Democrat has no serious competition within his party in the race for the presidential nomination.
However, according to forecasts, many voters voted “undecided”.
How high the number actually is will only become clear when more votes are counted.
There are many Muslims living in Michigan who disagree with Biden's support for Israel in the Gaza war and therefore may have voted against him as protest voters.
Michigan is considered a so-called swing state that cannot be firmly assigned to either Democrats or Republicans.
Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Columbia, South Carolina.
© WIN MCNAMEE/AFP
US primaries in Michigan: Trump on track
Update from February 27th, 8:32 p.m.:
Donald Trump is very popular in conservative circles across several age groups.
A new survey on the presumptive Republican presidential candidate is still surprising: Trump is apparently most popular among “Generation Z”, i.e. people who are currently between 18 and 24 years old.
This is the result of a Harvard CAPS-Harris survey in which eligible voters took part in 2022.
Update from February 27th, 4:10 p.m.:
In the primary elections in Michigan, voters will have three options on the ballot.
In addition to US President Joe Biden, Dean Phillips, congressman from the neighboring state of Minnesota, and the author Marianne Williamson are running.
There are two Republican choices: Donald Trump and Nikki Haley.
First report from February 27th:
Detroit - The US primaries will continue on Tuesday (February 27th) with votes from Republicans and Democrats in the state of Michigan.
After four clear victories, Donald Trump is unlikely to be stopped on his way to becoming the Republican presidential candidate again.
Nevertheless, his intra-party rival Nikki Haley wants to hold out at least until “Super Tuesday” on March 5th, when Republicans will vote in 15 states and one foreign territory.
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Well ahead in the polls: Donald Trump is likely to clearly win again against Nikky Haley
In the polls for the Republican primaries, Trump is also clearly in the lead in Michigan.
So Haley can be happy if she can get more than 20 percent of the votes.
For Trump, the US primaries in Michigan are likely to be the next triumphal march.
Surname |
percent |
|---|---|
Donald Trump |
78.7 |
Nikki Haley |
21.8 |
(Source: FiveThirtyEight, weighted average of polls as of February 26)
US primaries in Michigan: The war in Israel could cost Joe Biden votes
Among the Democrats, President Joe Biden is almost certain as the candidate.
In any case, he doesn't have to fear serious rivals in his party.
However, the results in Michigan are of particular interest because this state is one of the so-called swing states, which will ultimately be decisive for the outcome of the US election in November.
In this respect, it is eagerly awaited how clear the respective approval will be for Biden and Trump.
Michigan will be a mood test, especially for Biden.
Opposition to Biden's handling of the Middle East conflict is simmering in the American Midwest.
Michigan was considered democratic for a long time before Trump put Hillary Clinton in her place there in 2016.
What is certain is that protest voters could decide the US election.
In fact, a loud protest against Biden has formed in Michigan.
Of particular note here is the “Listen to Michigan” campaign, which insists on an immediate ceasefire and calls on Biden to immediately stop supporting Israel in the Gaza conflict.
Layla Elabed recently made it clear what she thinks of Biden's Israel policy: "Biden financed the bombs that fell on the family members of people here in Michigan - people who voted for him and who now feel completely betrayed."
Protest voters want to make a statement and a U-turn in Biden's Israel policy
According to the AFP
news agency, the declared goal of the protest movement is to
use protest votes to send a signal against the Middle East conflict and Biden's support for Israel.
The war in Israel “goes against the values of the Democratic Party,” said Elabed.
Her sister Rashida Tlaib, who represents Michigan's 13th district in the House of Representatives, also supports the campaign.
Surname |
percent |
|---|---|
Joe Biden |
75 |
Dean Philipps |
5 |
“Uncommitted” |
9 |
(Source: Emerson College, February 26 survey)
This is where the “Uncommited” option comes into play.
The campaign wants to win at least 10,000 people for this option.
In 2016, Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton by about 10,000 votes.
Politico
reports
that protest voters could far exceed their goal of 10,000 votes.
The protest movement could therefore turn out to be a real threat to Biden's presidential election.
(speaking with agency material)