LE FIGARO. -
You are further revising downwards your growth forecast for 2024. For what reasons
?
FRANÇOIS VILLEROY
DE
GALHAU.
-
This is a limited revision: we are lowering our forecast by 0.1 point to 0.8%.
This is the mechanical consequence of the lesser growth recorded at the end of 2023. At the start of 2024, activity is certainly slowed down but is holding up: for the first quarter, our survey of entrepreneurs leads us to forecast growth of 0.2%. .
It is now confirmed: France will escape recession.
Conversely, we have revised growth forecasts more significantly upwards for 2025 (1.5%) and for 2026 (1.7%).
The recovery will be fueled by disinflation which will support purchasing power and therefore consumption.
The government, for its part, is counting on 1
% growth.
Does he still err on the side of optimism
?
Its revision was essential.
Our forecasts now differ by only 0.2 points.
Frankly…
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