In both the Middle East and Ukraine, it is difficult to imagine a peaceful solution in the near future.
The current peace containment systems are ineffective.
Nuclear proliferation continues with new actors such as Iran and North Korea.
The Chinese and Russians are planning a project to install a nuclear power plant on the Moon (2033-2035).
Putin's public statements about nuclear use if certain circumstances arise in central Europe do not add peace of mind.
Trump's statements about defending Europe in the event of a conflict with Russia do not help either.
Multilateral diplomacy finds its limit in the United Nations Security Council.
The permanent representatives use the veto and thus the system does not advance, it is limited because it is ineffective.
Instead, bilateral diplomacy is revitalized.
It can be exercised more easily by the most powerful countries and, to a lesser extent, by intermediate and small countries.
The recent “Super Tuesday” in the United States defines that the electoral contest will be between Biden and Trump.
Global expectation will focus attention on the election during the next semester.
In this global context, Argentina's “presidential diplomacy” was present in Washington and expressed its option for the Republican candidate at an international party event.
Also in Davos, the Argentine president gave a speech where he developed his libertarian thinking taking as its axis that the West is in danger and expressed the foundations of his thesis in defense of Western capitalism and the risk of collectivist statism.
Coincidentally, he was succeeded at the lectern of that forum by the Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a socialist, accompanied by thirty Spanish businessmen.
Sánchez vindicated the role of the State and private activity.
In the Middle East, President Milei was clear in his support for Israel in the war.
His devotion to Judaism corresponds to the private sphere, but he never ceases to surprise everyone and everyone.
In the Vatican, his relationship with Pope Francis was restored after the fires of the electoral campaign.
The devil does not dwell in the forces of heaven.
A few weeks after his meeting in Rome, the Pope gave a message about the role of the State and social justice, distant from libertarian thought.
The meeting with the Italian authorities Giorgia Meloni and Sergio Mattarella strengthened relations with Italy.
The trip to Ukraine will be in June, to which he would add visits to Spain, France and Germany (three countries with a strong post-war social democratic imprint) where he will make his libertarian, anti-socialist and anti-statist thoughts heard.
His speeches provoke notable interest both in the media, networks, and those present, due to their extravagant crudeness, unusual in Western presidents.
Foreign policy, due to the lack of a stable and expressive framework of a common feeling and thinking, seems to “rock”: it means moving from one place to another without changing place.
Some call it the eternal pendulum.
This is also combined with the Manichean vision of good and bad.
We are geographically a country in the extreme South.
In democracy, every four years we choose the place where we want to be in the world.
Thus we end up with a government with a parliamentary minority that finds it difficult to achieve the objectives it proposes and seeks, through a political pact, to open a way out to build a new majority next year.
The cost to achieve this depends on a very harsh adjustment that weighs on the vulnerable social sectors that are subtly called caste.
This situation is closely observed by international financial organizations as well as by potential foreign investors.
Political fragmentation is also seen in the region.
Cuba is in a social and economic crisis, the wheat that comes from Russia to make bread does not arrive.
Nicaragua in dictatorship, remembering Somoza.
Maduro calling for a one-man election without the participation of the opposition that was excluded.
What is significant about this trilogy of countries is that they articulate their foreign policies with Russia, China and Iran.
They share and lead CELAC in the region.
They support Russia in the invasion of Ukraine and China in its global expansion.
In the Southern Cone, Venezuela intends to annex part of the territory of Guyana that it considers its own.
Colombia with governance problems and with an impasse in relations with our country due to statements made by Argentine President Milei regarding President Petro.
Bolivia with internal dispute between Morales and President Arce.
Mercosur lost the option of an agreement with the European Union due to intra-European disagreements and the firm opposition of France.
Argentine diplomacy has to resolve with its neighbors how to direct the Waterway that involves Paraguay, Bolivia, Brazil, and Uruguay.
This has geopolitical and security connotations.
A cooperation agreement was signed with the United States.
Finally, the new Argentine ambassador to Brazil was appointed.
He was accepted at his pleasure, knows Mercosur and has a professional career.
With the United Kingdom we raise confusion and ironies.
While David Cameron from the Falklands establishes the self-determination of the islanders and military presence.
The new government inherited as a precedent what we call bartola diplomacy, it is to be hoped that this new government will not install the diplomacy of extravagance.
Juan Pablo Lohlé is former ambassador to the OAS, Spain and Brazil. Director of CEPEI