Before the Senate rejected Javier Milei's DNU 70/23, the dialogue opposition closest to the ruling party had already begun to explore
different alternatives to freeze the debate on the legality of the mega decree
and thus avoid another resounding defeat for the Government, which In a certain way it would return the political centrality to Kirchnerism.
Faced with this scenario, the Pro together with sectors of radicalism and the
We Make Federal Coalition
seek to shore up the strategy with different projects that can have a quick consensus to
replace certain articles of the decree with laws
.
This would allow the Government to gain time, but at the same time legal consistency because even the dialogueists already predict that the Supreme Court will end up declaring the DNU unconstitutional.
It is clear that these allied sectors are waiting for a sign from a Government that was "hurt" after the defeat in the Senate, despite knowing for weeks that the decree was going to fall, according to a libertarian source.
For now, in
La Libertad Avanza
they play with the fact that it is "uphill" for Peronism to be able to gather the votes and, therefore, they operate to capture the greatest number of votes from the radical bloc, which became more fragmented with the decision of Martín Lousteau to vote against the DNU.
First we have to take a look at what happened this week in Congress, ignoring the 42 to 25 against that the DNU suffered in the Senate, a percentage difference that can hardly be repeated in the lower house.
To avoid a defeat of political connotation, the Hacemos bloc, led by
Miguel Ángel Pichetto
, presented a package of fiscal and labor reform projects prepared by Oscar Agost Carreño and Ricardo López Murphy.
The proposals are based on the articles of DNU 70/2023.
A similar maneuver was proposed by
Cristian Ritondo
's bloc , which before the fall of the mega decree in the Senate introduced three bills to modernize the current labor legislation, through which it seeks
to extend the trial period, encourage registration by providing benefits in social charges, simplify labor bureaucracy and declare essential services to key areas, such as education.
Something similar is also being worked on in the Senate, where Juan Carlos Romero from Salta along with Carlos "Camau" Espínola from Corrientes are fine-tuning a labor reform by eliminating fines that aggravate dismissal compensation.
Ideas that Milei included in his DNU.
Radicals are rushing the Government with the presentation of a new pension update law, outside the omnibus law.
Next week, 7 projects that are in Deputies will begin to be analyzed in a plenary session of the Welfare and Social Security and Budget commissions.
Paula Oliveto, from the Civic Coalition, told
Clarín
that "nothing will be done to address the DNU."
And she confirmed that work will be done on "mirror laws" on those issues for which there is agreement and that the Government must understand that they require "legislative treatment" so that it has greater legal certainty.
In light of all this,
Martín Menem
, president of the Deputies, knows that now there is no margin for error, and from Wednesday he will advance in the formation of the commissions, with the aim of bringing positions closer to the dialogueists and increasing the number of 77 votes that Freedom Advances and Pro can add up.
The UCR, which has 34 deputies, will be central to its strategy.
In principle,
they discard 11 votes
, among those who respond to Lousteau (6) and
Facundo Manes
(5), who will go for the rejection of the mega decree. "This is a bad path chosen by a government that arrived promising change and resorted to a unconstitutional tool, which the K governments abused," protested Danya Tavela, who is in line with Lousteau, and highlighted to this newspaper that all the issues on which there is agreement have a bill.
"Let the deputies of La Libertad Avanza work and let them rule
," she concluded.
If Rodrigo de Loredo gets the remaining 23 to vote in favor, the ruling party will reach 100.
And there the count points to what they can add to the We Make Federal Coalition.
Nicolás Massot, one of the bishops of the Pichetto bloc, has already anticipated that
he will not reject the DNU and stressed that it must be approved by law
.
"The decree was the wrong tool," he concluded.
It is also in doubt that Emilio Monzó and Pichetto himself are going to vote against the DNU, but that will be a little clearer on Monday, after the meeting they have with the Minister of the Interior,
Guillermo Francos
, for the Base Law.
The other bet of the ruling party is in the provincial blocks.
Pamela Caletti, from Federal Innovation, was critical of the decree and stressed that "the solution was for the Executive to send individual projects."
However, it is speculated that the three deputies for Salta, who respond to Gustavo Sáenz, will not vote against the DNU.
Neither did the 4 missionaries, taking into account that the representatives of the same space in the Senate abstained.
While the Rio Negro Agustín Domingo will not reject the decree despite the fact that the senator who responds to
Alberto Weretilneck
, Mónica Silva, voted for the negative.
The ruling party also has the 3 votes of the Independence bloc, of Tucumán governor Osvaldo Jaldo;
2 of Production and Work and the 2 of Buenos Aires Libre.
He also adds the support of Paula Omodeo from Tucumán and Alvaro Martínez from Mendoza.
Without counting any of the Hacemos deputies, the libertarians and their allies have 117 votes.
On the side of Unión por la Patria, the bloc chaired by Germán Martínez, which seeks the repeal of the DNU, has 99 votes.
Added to these are the 5 from the left and the Santa Cruz residents Sergio Acevedo and José Luis Garrido, who point to the Government for the layoffs in the province's dams and the threat of privatization of the Río Turbio coal field.
They also count Natalia de la Sota (Córdoba), Jorge Ávila (Chubut), and Osvaldo Llancafilo (MPN Neuquén) as the 11 radicals who respond to Manes and Lousteau.
Also without counting Hacemos it reaches 120 votes, which leaves them only 9 short of the quorum.
For the DNU to arrive at the venue, a session request signed by 10 deputies is needed and if the decree is finally debated at the time of the vote, the ruling party will demand two-thirds of those present and not half plus 1, since that the decree does not have the opinion of the bicameral Legislative Procedure commission that should have issued an office and that was only launched in February.