As of: March 18, 2024, 5:27 p.m
By: Paula Völkner
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Putin has made many promises to the Russian people.
One thing is certain: Putin will rule for another six years.
But what does he plan to do as Kremlin boss in Russia?
Moscow – Vladimir Putin will rule Russia for another six years.
This is no surprise, but it has been official since Sunday (March 17th).
During his State of the Nation propaganda speech in February, the Kremlin leader gave the Russian people a taste of what he supposedly plans to do in Russia over the next six years.
Tax cuts for small and medium-sized businesses, a new support program for families, an increase in the minimum wage, the modernization of the healthcare system and measures to increase life expectancy in Russia.
The
Bloomberg
news portal estimated the cost of Putin's promise at $130 billion.
In view of Russia's high war spending and the Kremlin's losses due to Western sanctions, Russia is
already facing a budget hole, according to reports from
manager magazine .
So what can actually be expected from Putin's fifth term in office?
Russian President Vladimir Putin during his online election in March 2024 © MIKHAIL METZEL/AFP
Putin's central goals: power in Russia and victory in Ukraine
The political scientist Fabian Burkhardt
analyzed what could be on the agenda for Putin's fifth term in office at the news portal
t-online .
Putin's most important goals are still to consolidate his power in Russia and win the war in Ukraine, he said.
Putin wants to “play for time” regarding the military plan in Ukraine and “use the West’s current weakness for his attacks in Ukraine,” said Burkhardt.
The US election in November is also important.
The appointment of the new Russian government in May could be an interesting appointment: although it is a formality, it will be interesting to see “which ministers return to their posts and which do not.”
According to a report by
Deutsche Welle
, no comprehensive changes within the Russian leadership are to be expected.
Putin wants an elite loyal to the war
Another instrument for Putin's retention of power could be a reorganization of the Russian elite.
Putin partly wants to create a new elite, political scientist Regina Heller told
Deutsche Welle
.
This is particularly about top executives who are loyal to Putin's war.
The Kremlin leader also emphasized this in his state of the nation speech.
By reshaping the Russian elite, Putin wants to ensure “the continuity of the system” beyond his term in office, said Heller.
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Alexandra Prokopenko also confirmed to the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
that Putin is trying to form a new, loyal top level in Russia
.
Prokopenko had advised the Russian central bank until the start of the Ukraine war and told the
FAZ
in January that Putin was already using the distribution of assets from Western companies that had left Russia to create a circle that was dependent on him.
Tax increases to finance the war in Ukraine
Putin's new term in office could also include tax increases, not least to cover the costs of the war in Ukraine.
However, as in the past, Putin will pass on unpopular decisions such as tax increases to his government, Burkhardt explained on
t-online
.
Tax increases should also serve as an instrument to implement social policy projects.
However, Putin's social promises in his state of the nation speech "should be treated with caution," said Burkhardt.
(pav)