A decline faster than expected.
The scientific journal
“The Lancet”
published a vast study this Thursday, March 21, showing that the decline in fertility would increase across the world by 2100. To the point that the rate of children per woman would be otherwise insufficient to keep the population stable in the majority of countries.
This work, based on figures from the Global Burden of Disease and led by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), estimates that the average fertility index could fall to 1.6 children per woman at the end of the century, against 1.8 previously announced by other studies.
If today more than half of the countries already observe a fertility rate that is too low to maintain the level of their population - particularly in developed countries - this rate will therefore continue to decline
"across the world"
.
Thus, if in 2021, 54% of the 204 countries and regions had fertility rates above the replacement threshold, this figure should fall...
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