As of: March 21, 2024, 11:17 a.m
By: Stefan Schmid
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Fewer and fewer people can find anything positive about the Greens.
In contrast to the SPD and FDP, they would not lose in new federal elections.
Berlin - After the change from the opposition to government responsibility, many parties were punished by those entitled to vote for their government work.
Last but not least, the FDP had to experience this.
After four years in coalition with the Union, the Liberals didn't even make it into the Bundestag in 2013.
A study has now confirmed that the parties in the current traffic light coalition are all losing reputation.
While this means that the SPD and FDP would lose a lot of votes, the Greens would again receive 14 percent - despite poor popularity ratings.
Despite poor popularity ratings, Robert Habeck has a good laugh when it comes to election polls.
© IMAGO / Metodi Popow
Convinced Greens provide a reliable cushion for the party
Far from the question of voting intentions, the picture for the Greens is devastating.
While in 2019 only 25 percent of those surveyed said they “didn’t like” the Greens at all, this is now over half (56 percent).
This is revealed by a current survey by the Allensbach Institute for Demoscopy on behalf of the
FAZ
.
Those who say they think Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck’s party is “good” now only make up a group of 8 percent – in 2019 it was 18 percent.
When it comes to the future forecast, the participants in the survey also see the Greens in a bleak light.
Less than a quarter say that the party will become more important in the future - shortly after the government was formed at the beginning of 2022, this figure was 67 percent.
Among the other traffic light coalition members, the opinion is even more devastating.
When it comes to the question of future relevance, the SPD is only at 15 percent (minus 15 percent), the FDP at 13 percent (-16 percent).
Overall, do you like the Greens well, partially or not at all?
Answer |
years (results) |
|---|---|
Good |
2024: 8% | 2019: 18% |
Partially |
2024: 27% | 2019: 41% |
Not at all |
2024: 56% | 2019: 25% |
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However, the Greens remain stable on the crucial question of power politics.
With 14.8 percent of the second votes, they entered the Bundestag in 2021.
In the most recent Allensbach survey (survey period: March 1 to 14, 2024), 14 percent would back the Greens again.
Although not as much as at the interim survey high in mid-2022 (22 percent), the core of the Green electorate seems to be loyal to their party.
Green ideology and core issues ensure stable poll numbers
While many who view the Greens negatively often cite their seemingly ideological stubbornness as a counter-argument to the party, this is probably also their strength.
Anyone who thinks the Greens are good at the moment points to the core issues.
77 percent of those who have a positive attitude towards the Baerbock party cite its commitment to environmental and climate protection.
The focus on future issues – the Greens’ core brand – was also well received by 67 percent of sympathizers.
This gives the Greens a decisive advantage over their coalition partners, whose voter potential appears to be significantly more volatile.
In the current survey, the SPD has 15 percent (second votes in 2021: 25.7 percent), the FDP has fallen from 11.5 percent in the last federal election to just 5 percent.
For Christian Lindner and his party, this threatens to repeat the debacle of 2013, especially since this is not the first survey slap for the FDP.
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sh
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Note: The survey by the Allensbach Institute for Demoscopy for the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung with an oral, personal survey is representative of the German population aged 16 and over. 1027 people were surveyed between March 1st and 14th.