Sovereignty will resist supporting Illa

ERC is not resigned to giving up the baton of command of the Generalitat of Catalonia in favor of the socialist candidate, Salvador Illa, even though he was the winner of the elections, far from the Republicans and Junts, according to all the demographic studies. .

Nor does Junts throw in the towel and refuse to assume in advance that the Republicans of Pere Aragonès and Oriol Junqueras will be ahead of them in the electoral count on May 12.

Seven weeks before the Catalan regional elections, the parties in the running are internally elaborating all the assumptions regarding the interweaving of pacts that may occur for the investiture of a candidate.

All with drawbacks;

some undesirable for those who have to assume them.

The winner, predictably, will be Salvador Illa.

The poll forecast also coincides with a notable climate of optimism and unity in the PSC around the former Minister of Health and also winner of the last elections to the Parliament, on February 14, 2021. Then “the usual thing” happened, according to socialist interlocutors, that is, the independence movement came to an agreement and the republican Pere Aragonès was elected president of the Generalitat, although the break between the two major currents of the independence movement came soon, in October 2022. The PSC has been the support of that government.

There is not the slightest guarantee that the Socialists will receive the support of the Republicans, although it would not be enough to reach the absolute majority of 68 required by the Catalan Chamber.

Another force would have to join in to invest Illa.

The speculations about Junts' support for the socialists in exchange for strong demands for self-government, including clearing the way to prepare an agreed referendum on self-determination for Catalonia, are absolutely rejected by the PSOE.

More information

Tie between PNV and EH Bildu in Euskadi one month before the regional elections

ERC will not stop talking about the consultation either, although at the forefront of specific demands it will place the achievement of unique financing for Catalonia.

The sources of the parties in contention consulted add that previous parameters have become useless in the Catalonia that emerged after the

process

.

The struggle for primacy in the sovereigntist camp will be stark.

Meanwhile, the PSC will try to ensure that the campaign is not disturbed by the processing of the amnesty law or by the deafening noise of the

Koldo

corruption case.

The decline in pro-independence sentiment, reflected in the Catalan CIS, underpins the PSC's strategy.

In socialist circles outside of Catalonia, there is concern that Illa's desired investiture comes hand in hand with an exhibition of pro-independence demands that will shake the PSOE candidacy in the European elections, just a month later.

The PP is in that task, with a view to the Basque elections next month, the Catalan elections the following month, and the European elections in June.

Salvador Illa is not going to escape being included in the list of appearances that the PP is preparing for the investigative commission that it has promoted in the Senate and whose guidelines its steering committee will write this Monday.

The Senate commission is only to investigate the management of the socialists during the pandemic after the outbreak of the so-called

Koldo case

.

The popular ones only recognize the commission of the Upper House while they disdain the one promoted by the rest of the groups in Congress, with their abstention, to study the behavior of all administrations to confront the covid.

“We will be relentless,” they warn in the PP regarding the investigation that they plan to promote in the Senate.

Illa will be a central attack target.

There is no parallel with the Basque Country regarding the central Government, but there is in the struggle between nationalism.

The 40dB study.

for EL PAÍS and Cadena SER this Monday, ends in a tie in seats between the PNV and EH Bildu.

In this situation, the support of the PSE-PSOE to the PNV, as until now when they govern in coalition, continues to be preferred by the voters.

This disposition of the socialists will not change, according to highly reliable interlocutors, even if EH Bildu surpassed the PNV in the April elections.

Another difference with the Catalan sovereigntist parties is in the eventual consequences on the Government of Spain.

There is no sign of EH Bildu giving up its support for the central government's policies, even if it is not reciprocated in the Basque Country.

His strategy is to differentiate Madrid from Vitoria.

It will be seen.

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