Iran attacked Israel on Saturday, further aggravating the current situation in the Middle East. After the attack, fears of a wildfire are growing. An expert classifies the situation.
Tel Aviv/Tehran - After Iran's attack on Israel, global concern is growing about a conflagration in the Middle East: the Iranian army attacked Israeli targets with up to 300 missiles and drones on Saturday. The first direct attack brings the two arch-enemies to the brink of war, the impact of which could be huge on the entire region. What reactions might follow the Iran attack is currently uncertain. However, experts are currently not ruling out further escalations in the Middle East.
Speaking to
IPPEN.MEDIA
, Ulrich Schlie, member of the Scientific Advisory Board of the North Rhine-Westphalia Academy for International Politics, classifies the current situation after Iran's attack on Israel and gives an assessment of what effects could follow.
After Iran attack on Israel: Expert explains what consequences are now possible
What's next in the Middle East after Iran's attack on Israel?
We can assume that there could be an appropriate Israeli retaliation. Answering this question exactly is currently speculative. However, we have recently seen repeatedly that Iranian consulates and camouflage operations centers have been targeted by the Israeli armed forces for covert military operations.
Can a Middle East war still be prevented?
The situation is extremely dangerous. Much will depend on whether Iran decides to engage in further provocations and how its proxies Red.] respond.
The spiral of violence in the Middle East continues – Iran's attack on Israel could have an impact on Putin
How could the spiral of violence in the Middle East develop?
The best way to prevent the spiral of violence from spiraling out of control is determination, deterrence and unity. There is always a risk of further escalation in such conflict cases.
What impact could a war between Israel and Iran have on Vladimir Putin?
On the one hand, Putin has an interest in further weakening the United States and will do everything he can to add fuel to the fire and drive a wedge into the Western camp. On the other hand, a war in the Middle East that gets out of hand with all its consequences cannot be in his interest.
Is Iran using the tactics of the Russians or the Houthi rebels to develop increasingly dangerous and effective attack packages against Israel and the USA?
The Houthis are already being informally controlled from Tehran, and unfortunately we can assume that Iran will do everything it can to weaken Israel and the United States.
Will Iran's attack on Israel be followed by the atomic bomb? What reactions are possible
Does Israel have to fear that Iran could use nuclear weapons?
In strategy you always have to be prepared for the worst, so Israel would be well advised to prepare for this worst-case scenario too.
How proportionally or disproportionally will Israel respond?
The proportionality of resources is a classic requirement of smart strategy. In view of the existential threat and the associated signal for our own population, I expect an appropriately harsh and drastic reaction, because those in power in Tehran only understand the language of power.
How far will the US go with its support?
Today's reactions from US President Joe Biden are clearly a signal of support. America will not abandon Israel in this extremely difficult situation, but will do everything possible to avoid escalation.
What scenarios are there for a counterattack by Israel? And what impact would that have?
The scenarios range from a continuation of the policy of targeted needlesticks to military “retaliation” to the expansion of the war into a conflagration. I think the risk of a further reaction is very real.
Consequences of Iran's attack on Israel uncertain: Expert assumes future threat
How will Iran respond to Israel's threats?
Unfortunately, the answer to this question is speculative. We have to assume that for the foreseeable future we will have to live with a threat from Iran that is underestimated by many - unfortunately also in Germany.
How much does Hamas benefit from the Iranian attacks?
Hamas will undoubtedly perceive the attacks as signals of support in its fight against Israel and welcome them accordingly. On the other hand, the last attack makes it clear what role Iran and
its proxies play in the region and how existentially dangerous the situation is.
What is Hezbollah doing? It has already fired rockets from Lebanon today.
She will try to make strategic gains from the situation.
Consequence of Iran's attack on Israel for Germany: Expert advises European response
What role can Germany play as a mediator?
In my opinion, it is even more important than simulation games about Germany playing a mediating role to bring about a uniform and strong response from the European Union.
What do the latest developments mean for Germany?
Germany must take precautions against possible attacks even more consistently than before and draw the consequences from the turning point and the associated risks. We have to completely reposition ourselves in terms of security policy.
Israel is under pressure after Iran attack – tough reaction expected
How quickly Israel will respond to the Iran attack is currently uncertain. The Israeli war cabinet wanted to discuss how to proceed on Sunday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wrote on the X platform (formerly Twitter): “We shot down, we slowed down. Together we will win.” Before the War Cabinet meeting, Foreign Minister Israel Katz said in an interview with Army Radio: “We said: If Iran attacks Israel, we will attack in Iran. And that commitment is still valid.”