PSG is master of its own destiny.
However, this does not mean that the doors of the knockout stages of the Champions League are wide open, far from it… With two defeats in their first three group matches, the Parisians are back to the wall.
They were already before Leipzig last week (1-0 victory), and this is still the case this Wednesday, at Old Trafford, against Manchester United (9 p.m.), during the fifth lift.
Next week they will receive Istanbul Basaksehir.
"It's possible to win here even if it's a big challenge because it's ManU, it's Old Trafford and the team is super strong", summarizes Thomas Tuchel.
Clearly, two scenarios are synonymous with guaranteed qualification: if the champions of France take six points out of six in the last two matches and if they take at least as many points as Leipzig.
Otherwise, we will have to count on favorable results in the other matches, Istanbul Basaksehir-RB Leipzig this Wednesday (6:55 p.m.) and RB Leipzig-Manchester United next week (9 p.m.).
Point.
Moise Kean's double against Basaksehir on October 28 (0-2)
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In the event of PSG victory in Manchester
(Ranking: MU and Paris at 9 points, Leipzig at 9, 7 or 6 and Istanbul at 6, 4 or 3)
Paris would return to Manchester at the top of the group with nine points and would be in ideal position before the last day.
Neymar and company should also win with two or more goals (2-0, 3-1 ...) or with one goal but by scoring at least three goals (3-2, 4-3 ... ) to take the advantage in the direct confrontation after the Mancunian success at the Parc des Princes in the first leg (2-1).
Still, even in the event of Leipzig's success in Istanbul, with the three teams at nine points, PSG would only need a draw on the sixth day to reach the next round.
In the event of a draw between PSG and Manchester United
(Ranking: Manchester at 10 points, Paris at 7, Leipzig at 9, 7 or 6, Istanbul at 6, 4 or 3) It
all depends on the result of Leipzig in Turkey.
If Julian Nagelsmann's men win, they would double PSG (9 points against 7), with Manchester United in the lead (10 pts).
In this case, Paris would no longer have its fate in its hands and should count on a success from the players of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer in Germany next week.
And this knowing that the Red Devils would already be qualified and would play "only" for the gain of the first place at the Red Bull Arena ... Paris should obviously beat Istanbul.
In the event of a draw or defeat for Leipzig in Istanbul, on the other hand, Paris keeps control but should face a Turkish team still in the race for a ticket in the 8th at the Parc des Princes.
In any case, the vice-champions of Europe would pass for sure with a victory.
And also with a draw, if Leipzig does not beat MU.
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In case of defeat of PSG in Manchester
(Ranking: Manchester at 12 points, Paris at 6, Leipzig at 9, 7 or 6 and Istanbul at 6, 4 or 3)
This is obviously the most unfavorable case for the Reds and Blue, knowing that MU would already be assured of qualification.
And almost in first place, knowing that the Red Devils had beaten Leipzig 5-0 in the first leg and therefore have little chance of being beaten by the Germans with the particular difference.
If Leipzig wins this Wednesday in Turkey, only one scenario would allow the Parisians to pass: victory of PSG against Istanbul and success of MU at the Red Bull Arena.
In the event of a draw for Leipzig on Wednesday, Paris can pass with a draw against Istanbul if Leipzig loses against MU.
A draw or a victory for the German club de facto eliminates PSG, regardless of their result during the last lift.
If Leipzig loses this Wednesday, a draw against Istanbul next week would be enough for the happiness of the vice-champions of Europe if Leipzig does not win at the same time against MU.
In short, Paris can pass by taking only one point in its last two matches, and therefore with seven units to count on arrival.
But it is unlikely.
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Champions League rankings
