The post-war war: Euroleague playoff race scenarios
What is Maccabi Tel Aviv's optimistic scenario, how can the Red Star complicate it, how will champion Anadolu find itself out and what coincidence must happen for Sussman and Blatt to cause a splash?
The removal of the Russians from the Euroleague shuffled the cards again, so we put the scenarios in order
Walla!
sport
28/03/2022
Monday, March 28, 2022, 7:30 p.m.
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Comments of Maccabi Tel Aviv after the 74:75 victory over Real Madrid (Maccabi Tel Aviv, official Instagram page)
In just over two weeks, the regular season in the Euroleague will end, and the relegation of the Russian teams has shuffled the cards again.
Four playoff tickets have already been handed out, but seven teams are still fighting for the remaining four tickets, including Maccabi Tel Aviv which is suddenly in a great starting position to advance to the quarter-finals for the first time since the league format was changed.
Tomorrow the Yellows will try to take another big step on the way to achieving the goal, when they host Panathinaikos.
But what does the picture of their chances and those of the other teams look like on the eve of the cycle?
We tried to make an order.
Secured a place in the playoffs:
1. Barcelona
2. Real Madrid
3. Olympiacos
4. Milan
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The status of the teams battling for the playoffs
5. Anadolu Zero
Balance:
11:14
Remaining games:
Alba Berlin (b), Bayern Munich (b), Red Star (h)
will secure the card with two wins from two games, or with one in case the Red Star or Alba Berlin lose.
Could finish in fourth place, but could fall to 10th place.
6. Maccabi Tel Aviv
Balance:
11:13
Remaining games
: Panathinaikos (h), Villarban (b), Barcelona (h), Fenerbahce (b)
will secure a place in the playoffs through two wins in the remaining four games.
Can rise in high probability even with one win, and can in an optimal scenario screw up even in fourth place.
In a pessimistic scenario, can miss the playoffs and finish in tenth place.
Everything is still open.
Wilbkin vs. Larkin (Photo: Danny Maron)
7. Monaco
Balance:
13:13
Remaining games:
Milan (h), Alba Berlin (b)
will rise if they win the remaining two games, and even if they win only one - provided that Alba Berlin loses at least once.
8. Munich Munich
Balance:
11:12
Remaining games:
Milan (h), Red Star (b), Fenerbahce (h), Anadolu Efes (h), Real Madrid (h)
will advance to the playoffs if they win at least 3 out of 5 games.
Can also come up with two wins, but in a more complicated scenario.
He is also expected to be there.
Mike James (Photo: Reuters)
9. The Red Star
Balance:
14:11
Remaining games:
Bayern Munich (h), Zalgiris Kaunas (h), Anadolu Zero (b)
will only rise if they win the three remaining games, with one of the two: Bayern Munich will not win more than twice, or Monaco and Maccabi Tel Aviv will not win more than once.
In an optimal scenario, can climb to fifth place.
10. Alba Berlin
Balance:
14:10
Remaining games:
Fenerbahce (h), Anadolu Efes (h), Panathinaikos (b), Monaco (h)
can make a splash and advance to the playoffs only if they win all four games left, alongside the following circumstances: Bayern Munich will not win more than twice, and Monaco will not win more than once.
Need a miracle.
Sussman and Blatt (Photo: Udi Citiat)
11. Fenerbahce
Balance:
15: 9
remaining games:
Alba Berlin (b), Bayern Munich (b), Panathinaikos (b), Maccabi Tel Aviv (h)
should win the four remaining games (including a victory by more than 9 points over Bayern Munich) Combined with one of the two: Bayern Munich will not win more than once, or Maccabi Tel Aviv will lose its four games.
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Euroleague and European basketball
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