Rome
How can we predict the end of confinement when we still do not see the peak of the epidemic? This is the problem in Italy, where the virus has spread at high speed for over a month and has already killed more than 5,000 people. Even if for the past two days, the number of new cases seems to be slowing, with less than 3,800 more yesterday, compared to 4,800 two days before.
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"What we are seeing today still reflects the spread of the contagion that occurred 12 to 14 days ago," explained the president of the Superior Health Council, Franco Locatelli, on March 10. While we are fourteen days after quarantining all of Italy, the country awaits the famous peak of new cases. In its appendix to its decree of closure, the government predicted March 13 a peak between March 17 and 18, with that date 4500 cases per day, and 92,000 people infected around April 25. With the end of the contagion, namely the absence of new cases, at the end of April.
The curve of the virus alternates between acceleration and decelerationNow the latest bulletins
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