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Will the Corona epidemic disappear in the summer? | Israel today

2020-04-06T14:09:35.156Z


Science today


Since the outbreak of the plague around the world a lot of speculation about the fate of the virus is coming this summer • New research provides answers to the big question • There is easy room for optimism

  • Corona test // Photo: Getty Images

The summer is approaching and this week we have already experienced the first stage in Israel, alongside a day with particularly hot weather in the northern hemisphere. Following climate change, the British Guardian newspaper has been debating whether this will stop the spread of the Corona virus this summer. And there is easy room for optimism.

One of the bright spots in this view is the fact that University College London researchers found in a study that other Corona family viruses were more prevalent in February, while their prevalence was lower in the summer. In that respect, there is a basis for claiming that, like the rest of its relatives, the corona may be a winter virus that is less active in summer.

But the researchers themselves are very cautious in their forecast and cite the findings for two reasons: "We may see a fall in the outbreak this summer. Very predictive of his behavior. "

They also added that "unlike his other relatives, he will not have a distinction between summer and winter and these two main reasons are important to continue to maintain all restraint and closure provisions."

The fact that this is a new disease that humanity has not dealt with still worries London's Imperial College researchers, who believe that even if it is a seasonal virus, relatively because of our natural inoculation will cause Corona to continue to expand in summer at an increased rate.

Virologist Michael Skinner from Imperial College says he noted that "I believe there is a seasonal effect for the corona virus, but because of our lack of vaccine and the sensitivity of the population this year the difference between summer and winter will be completely minor." On the other hand, researcher Ben Neumann of Ridig University is even more pessimistic, saying that "it is true that the virus began to spread in China during a frozen period of the year, but it also reached hot countries such as Brazil and Ecuador and only accelerated its progress so that it was wrong to build on the summer."

Change in the immune system between summer and winter

Beyond the question of whether the corona virus is predominantly active in winter or all seasons, scientists are now planning to test the difference in human immune system activity between summer and winter. Surrey University Immunologist Natalie Riddle notes that "we know to check daily changes in the immune system but we don't know what the season-to-season changes of the body's immune system are. From tests we have already received, there appears to be increased activity of type B white cells on sunny days. Therefore, we may be able to prepare virus disease treatments according to the seasons. "

So will the Corona virus be arrested in the summer?

If we try to answer the million-dollar question clearly, the scientific world itself does not know the answer. On the one hand, studies show that corona viruses are more effective at temperatures between 3-18 degrees, but against both the Saras virus and the Korna virus, which are from the same family, have spread and operated in summer and spring. Therefore, at least in the early stages of the disease, it will probably continue into the summer. However, in the years to come after humanity develops immunity to it, it may stop in the summer like most members of this family.

Source: israelhayom

All tech articles on 2020-04-06

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