THE QUESTION
.
“
Factory at Covid.
It is with this colorful expression that Prime Minister Jean Castex expressed his fear of an explosion in the number of contaminations with the end of year celebrations, Christmas and New Year.
Read also: Covid-19: is France in a "more than honorable situation" in Europe?
Finally, this Thursday evening, the head of government expressed his relief on this front: "
We were able to spend the end of year celebrations without an epidemic outbreak
".
There has certainly not been an outbreak, but, for several days, have we not been witnessing an upsurge, for the moment certainly still contained?
Could this be related?
CHECKS
.
Establishing such a causal link is not an easy exercise because of the various biases which make it difficult to assess the real number of cases.
Since the start of the epidemic, we know that the available epidemiological data depend on the screening policy itself.
If we screen a lot, we automatically get more positive tests, especially since the Covid is characterized by
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