Simon Cauchemez is also responsible for the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases laboratory at the Institut Pasteur.
LE FIGARO.
- After a slight plateau, the epidemic seems to start again.
Is this the effect of variants?
Simon CAUCHEMEZ.
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The current measures seem sufficient to control the historical strain of the virus.
Unfortunately, as we feared, some variants are more contagious.
They are becoming the majority and may be partly responsible for this epidemic resumption.
The cumulative effect of the holidays and the cold snap has no doubt saved us a little time.
But in recent days, this effect seems to be fading.
Read also:
Covid-19: is the effect of variants on the epidemic already clearly visible?
When will we see the impact of vaccines on the epidemic?
We have modeled the epidemic trajectories for the next few weeks by taking into account the planned deliveries of the various vaccines and by considering an effectiveness of 90%
(Editor's note: these rates are confirmed by the first real life studies, read opposite)
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