THE QUESTION
.
In recent days, observers of the epidemic have noticed a strange phenomenon: while the number of Covid patients continues to increase in hospitals, hospital deaths follow a downward trend, although they are still maintained at a high level (around 250 deaths per day).
But until then, the death curve followed quite faithfully that of hospital admissions, about 10 days late.
Hospital admissions, intensive care admissions, hospital deaths.
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How to explain this decorrelation, unprecedented since the start of the epidemic in France?
Read the file: Covid-19: all you need to know about the coronavirus pandemic in France and around the world
CHECKS.
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For a year, we were used to the curves of new contaminations, hospital admissions, intensive care admissions and deaths being parallel, with a lag
", recalls Dr Ségolène Aymé, epidemiologist and director. emeritus researcher at the National Institute of Health and Medical Research (Inserm).
"
For this new wave, the lag is different, and the expected increase in deaths has not yet been observed,
" notes the scientist.
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