Fabio d'Andrea is Deputy Director of the Dynamic Meteorology Laboratory at the École normale supérieure in Paris.
- Floods in China, fires in North America and Siberia… Are we already facing the consequences of climate change?
Personally, I believe so.
Forecasts by climatologists predict an increase in events of extreme intensity in an on average warmer world.
However, to know if a particular disaster is a manifestation of climate change, you have to do specific calculations.
Scientists use digital models for this: they reproduce on a virtual Earth the weather conditions on the day of the event (temperature, humidity, wind, etc.) and run this model a thousand times to measure the probability of such a disaster, at both under current climatic conditions and those before the industrial revolution.
We know from this type of study that the latest
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