"
The worst-case scenario is moving away, the decline has begun, the peak of infections has passed these days at least in Île-de-France
", announced this morning the epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet, member of the Scientific Council, at the microphone of our colleagues from France Inter this January 17.
He added that the peak of infections will come “
a little later in the other French regions
”.
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"
Hospital admissions are expected to peak in the coming week
," he predicted. For the scientist, “
the number of infections will decrease during the month of February, and in March we should be very low again
”. He thus corroborates the remarks of Alain Fischer, the “
mister vaccine
” of the government, to the Express who was optimistic. “
In March, we should achieve very good control of the current wave. A period of calm should then open up before us
,” he said.
"Of course, there will always be new variants, but hopefully they will be less aggressive."
Professor Fontanet also announced “
elements
(...)
suggest to us that when you are infected with Omicron, you are immune to Delta. We have reason to believe that Delta is not going to come back with the vigor it had during the
fall
.
If the Scientific Council does not exclude "
a sixth or a seventh wave
", it insists on recalling that "
each wave strengthens our immunity
", adding "
we will end up with seasonal epidemics but we can expect in the long term that we are protected against serious forms
”.
He also wanted to return to the role of the vaccine on the transmission of the virus.
“
It has an effect, certainly at six months from the second dose, more protection against infection.
But with the reminder, you reduce the risk of getting infected by 70%.
It is not at all negligible
”.
“
The whole question is how to achieve the maximum vaccination coverage that will protect us.
(…) Some countries have chosen the vaccination obligation, the vaccination pass is another way to achieve it
”, he estimated while the National Assembly definitively adopted the bill establishing the vaccination pass .
