Those close to him are convinced of this: the president is resolutely ready to turn everything upside down to get out of the crisis. His method, like his political orientation. "To reinvent himself, Emmanuel Macron will not be content with a great speech and to change three heads in his government. He can really, by the summer, overturn the table, ” believes one of his friends. So much so that the prospect of a dissolution of the National Assembly has resurfaced in recent days.
“It is up to the president to lay down the method and it is after that the institutional questions will open. Do we need a reshuffle? A dissolution? Nothing should be dismissed, ” slipped, sibylline, the MEP Stéphane Séjourné at the bend of an interview granted Monday to L'Express . This method "must involve the social partners, institutions, civil society" but also "parliamentarians very closely, as well as local elected representatives so as not to fall into political instability."
Read also: Stéphane Séjourné (LREM) evokes a "dissolution" of the National Assembly to get out of the crisis
Statements that have caused some cold sweats within the presidential majority, since this former political adviser of Emmanuel Macron is an influential strategist of macronie. "It's good, it helps put the deputies under tension!" , in a context where several elected Walkers secede or express their dissatisfaction, deciphers a minister. "Some of my colleagues were surprised, they had obviously forgotten that dissolution was a tool provided for by the Constitution" observes Guillaume Kasbarian, deputy La République en Marche de l'Eure-et-Loir. There is nothing shocking in recalling it, even if I find it hard to see concretely how to organize early legislative elections in an already very constrained electoral calendar until 2022. In addition, adding a political crisis to a crisis economic and health would not be able to reassure economic actors. " Without forgetting that the government is already having the greatest difficulty in organizing the second round of municipal elections…
A useful weapon
In reality, few leaders bet on such a scenario. "It would be a waste of time," sweeps a member of the government. With a majority group of 288 deputies and their 46 colleagues from MoDem, the support of Agir and the UDI, the executive has no difficulty in passing its texts. "No interest for the president to add trouble ..." , said a deputy Walker.
Read also: Macronists create a ninth group in the Assembly, LREM loses an absolute majority
On the other hand, some point out, dissolution can be a useful political weapon in the event that the parliamentary majority no longer corresponds to a new political agenda set by the President of the Republic. And after all, weren't François Mitterrand and Jacques Chirac re-elected after having dissolved the lower house?
“Dissolution cannot be only a political element of protection of the President of the Republic. Bet on his re-election through cohabitation would be experienced as a political tactic, and it is not in his DNA, " retorts a loyal head of state. “The subject is not dissolution, but rather how we embark the French in the end of the crisis. I have the feeling that the president will look for innovative ways to relegitimate the recovery ” , explains MP Guillaume Kasbarian.
