If Russia's army wins: German authorities simulate mass influx of Ukraine refugees. Since the start of the Russian war of aggression in February 2022, more than a million people have already fled from Ukraine to Germany alone.
An influx of refugees would require the federal and local governments to make considerable efforts both in terms of accommodation and arranging work permits. The exact development of migration remains uncertain, as neither the Interior Ministry nor the Federal Police wanted to make precise forecasts. Only arms aid can prevent migration to Germany, says CDU foreign policy expert Norbert Röttgen.