The most likely result in Galicia is a popular majority (69% probability), but the uncertainty of the polls leaves alternatives. BNG and PSOE could add (25%), or the decisive seat could go to Democracia Ourensana (6%) The seats of Vox and Podemos are almost ruled out, and Sumar's entry into the Galician Parliament also seems difficult.
Yolanda Díaz's party has around 3% of votes in several provinces. According to my calculations, the party has less than 10% chance of achieving representation.