Trump as a driving force in Europe? Pessimism is growing when it comes to the war in Ukraine. A third of respondents would prefer the EU to follow the US in reducing aid if Trump is re-elected.

Only 20 percent of those surveyed would want to increase support in this case. No new Ukrainian offensive expected in 2024 - also because of the lack of US aid. If Europe's production of ammunition and other equipment increases during this time, the Ukrainian army could be in a position to gain the upper hand in the defensive war against Russia in 2025.