Political situation
Written by: Sha Banshan
2021-03-01 07:00
Last update date: 2021-03-01 07:00
If it is said that Xia Baolong, director of the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council, set the tone for the principle of "patriots ruling Hong Kong" last Monday, which was the prelude to Beijing's reform of the Hong Kong electoral system, then Xia Baolong was in Shenzhen yesterday (28th) to "listen to Hong Kong society". "Representatives from all walks of life" opinions are a series of "plot trailers."
Fan Xu Litai, a former member of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, was interviewed after the Shenzhen forum. He revealed that during the meeting, there were discussions on the abolition of 117 district council election committee positions and the cancellation of 5 "super district council" seats in the Legislative Council.
A senior establishment said with a smile that Fan Tai has always been prudent and focused on an enlightened image. Such an "aggressive" suggestion is obviously not a personal opinion, but represents the position of the central government. She even described her "acceptance of media interviews" as carefully laid out. The taste of "ballooning" Hong Kong society.
Another source revealed that on the day of the closing of the "Two Sessions" on the 11th, the National People's Congress will pass a "decision" authorizing the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress to formulate a plan to reform Hong Kong's electoral system to implement the principle of patriots ruling Hong Kong. , The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress will consider specific plans at a meeting held at the end of March at the earliest.
Fan Tai mentioned that the 117 electoral committees currently elected by district councilors should be cancelled for the constituent parts of the electoral committee. (Photo)
Cancellation of 117 district councilors election committee formation materials dust settled
Fan Xu Litai mentioned suggestions on the composition of the Election Committee and the Legislative Council at the forum. Some of the establishmentists described Fan Tai’s remarks as a hint of the upcoming Legislative Council elections and the "big reorganization" of the Election Committee elections. .
The first is to reform the Election Committee. Fan Tai mentioned that the 117 preferred appointments currently selected by district board members should be eliminated.
She said that Article 97 of the Basic Law states that Hong Kong can have non-political regional organizations, but they cannot play a role in the political power. She believes that the representatives of district councils need not be included in the election committee.
"Hong Kong 01" learned from the sources of information that the 117-seat electoral committee to cancel the mutual election of district councilors is almost settled.
This means that even if the democrats who dominate the district council successfully pass the oath, they will not be able to achieve the goal of "500+" in the electoral committee.
Direct election "dual seat single vote system" still to be decided
In addition, Mrs. Fan mentioned that the five "super-district" seats in the Legislative Council should also be abolished. She also believes that direct elections in the Legislative Council should be divided into at least 10 constituencies, instead of using the proportional representation system, but the "double-seat single-vote system." .
She explained that at the time the Legislative Council was directly elected to implement the proportional representation system, it was hoped that there would be diversified opinions so that all small parties would be represented. However, she now found that those who entered the parliament with less than 10% were more radical, radical, and well-known. not tall.
She suggested that the two candidates with the highest number of votes should be elected, and the candidates also need to obtain the nomination of the first choice committee before they are "entered".
What Tai Fan mentioned involves two aspects. One is the reorganization of the functional constituencies of the Legislative Council, and the other is the change of the "rules of the game" by direct elections in the Legislative Council.
According to the news, the re-characterization of the functions of the district councils is one of the focal points of the two sessions in addressing the Hong Kong issue. "Therefore, we will do it in one step." Only the district board (1) functional constituency seats that existed after the reunification will be retained.
Therefore, the five "over-district" functional constituency seats in the Legislative Council are also likely to be withdrawn.
There is a "small political reform" or a partial implementation
However, whether direct regional elections should be changed from a proportional representation system to a dual-seat single-vote system or even other "games"? According to the news, Beijing has not made the final decision.
There is even a saying that changes in direct elections by districts have too much impact, involving rezoning, voting design, publicity and promotion. From March to September (the original date for the Legislative Council elections), only six months may not be possible. And, Beijing may fix the election committee first. After the new chief executive is elected next year, the general election of the Legislative Council will be held in the fall of next year.
The Democrats Tu Jinshen and Kwong Chunyu were in the last Legislative Council elections and joined the Super District Council.
(Photo by Liao Yanxiong)
Semi-negotiated functional constituency seats or replace the super district five seats
The source also pointed out that regardless of whether the Legislative Council election will be postponed or not, as mentioned above, the abolition of the five "super-district" seats in the Legislative Council has a great chance of being implemented, and the vacated seats are likely to be replaced by new functional constituencies. The functional constituencies will be mainly "semi-negotiated", similar to the current methods for generating seats in the business sector (1), business sector (2), industry (1), and industry (2).
The democrats won the district council elections in 2019, shaking up the political landscape.
However, once relevant reforms are implemented, the influence of the democrats may be greatly reduced.
Legislative Council District Councils (1) The seats are expected to be retained to expand the voter structure
According to Article 97 of the Basic Law, “The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region may establish non-political regional organizations to receive consultations from the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government on regional management and other matters, or to provide cultural, recreational, and environmental sanitation services.” Therefore, the Central Government hopes to review the functions of the district boards and make an entry point for reforming the functional constituencies of the electoral committee and the legislative council to lay a foundation for the abolition of relevant seats.
As for the District Council (1) Legislative Council seats, the news stated that they will not be abolished, but the current method of selection is likely to be changed. In addition to the 452 district councillors in Hong Kong, voters may join district organizations and societies.
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