Just appointed by the investiture of the Republicans at the end of a strong primary in twists and turns, Valérie Pécresse could be able to climb to the second round of the presidential election of April 2022. According to a new survey * Ifop- Fiducial for Le Figaro and LCI **, carried out mainly before the meeting of Eric Zemmour, the candidate LR recorded a strong increase of seven points to reach 17% of voting intentions in the first round.
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Valérie Pécresse nominated by LR for the presidential election
Another surprise, the president of the Île-de-France region would even record a score of 48% of voting intentions in the second round if she were to face Emmanuel Macron, the only one not to have officially declared himself a candidate for the election. presidential.
A tour de force for Valérie Pécresse, who is now the only candidate to approach so close to the President of the Republic.
A primary effect on the right
"The appointment of Valérie Pécresse freed the people of the right," observes Frédéric Dabi, director general of Ifop at Le Figaro.
There was a question about the impact of the primary, with a greatly reduced electorate compared to that of 2016, but the effect is there ”.
Emmanuel Macron remains solid, with 25% of voting intentions in the first round, but the candidate is gaining points on the side of retirees, where the president is losing ground.
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For her part, the access of the candidate of the National Rally to the second round is no longer guaranteed.
Marine Le Pen loses 2.5 points of voting intentions and is now at 17% in the first round.
Even if she climbed to the second round of the election, she would then only be credited with 44% against Emmanuel Macron.
The left in a very bad position
Eric Zemmour, although the majority of the Ifop-Fiducial investigation was carried out before his meeting in Villepinte, still seems in difficulty.
The candidate and polemicist fell by two points, to 13%, and no longer appears in a position to qualify for the second round.
On the left, no candidate crosses the 10% mark.
The leader of LFI, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leads the way for the candidates by arriving fifth and collecting 9% of the voting intentions.
The ecologist Yannick Jadot gleans 6% of the intentions, the socialist Anne Hidalgo 5%.
* Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot.
They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.
** Survey conducted by self-administered online questionnaire from December 4 to 6, 2021, with a sample of 1,341 people registered on the electoral rolls.
Margin of error of 1.2 to 2.7 points.
