At each election, the question comes up: “
Why is the score of the National Rally underestimated?
".
It must be admitted that the method of voting in the legislative elections (uninominal majority in two rounds) traditionally disadvantaged the nationalist party.
The high estimate between the two towers gave him 50 deputies, and Marine Le Pen provoked ridicule when she announced 100 deputies.
His team won 89, a first!
In addition, she could count on the support of certain elected MPs on the right.
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So why was his score underestimated.
First of all, as many pollsters remind
Le Figaro
, because “
the results of the polls do not constitute a prediction for the day of the vote
”.
Then the voting method complicates a preview.
“
It is technically infeasible, unless you have a wonderful budget, to have a poll in the 577 constituencies
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