Santa Fe
is the
third district with the most voters
in Argentina, behind Buenos Aires and Córdoba;
but the spotlight of politics and the media settled there due to the social drama and insecurity that one of its main cities, Rosario, is experiencing,
plagued by drug trafficking
.
Impossible not to associate one thing with the other: a
new electoral survey
measured the province and the
results for the Frente de Todos were bad
.
The study carried out by
Clarín
this Tuesday is from
CB Consultora Opinión Pública
, a firm that conducts surveys throughout the country and has among its clients the governments of Córdoba and the City of Buenos Aires.
This newspaper advanced some of its latest studies that showed, for example, a complex scenario for the ruling party also in Buenos Aires territory.
In Santa Fe, the consultancy headed by analyst
Cristian Buttié
surveyed 1,002 online cases, between March 6 and 10, and published the results with +/- 3.1% margin of error.
The poll evaluated
three electoral hypotheses
, always internal
PASO
:
two presidential
(one with Cristina Kirchner and Mauricio Macri, and another without them) and
one for governor
.
The national and provincial elections are separated.
Presidential STEP: bad with Cristina and without her, worse
In the first table, with Cristina and Macri on the offer, the sum of the candidates of
Together for Change takes more than 10 points over that of the Frente de Todos
(35.3% to 24.5%).
And that
the most voted is the former president
, with 17.1%.
But the rest of her colleagues contribute little or nothing: Sergio Massa 4.3%, Daniel Scioli 1%, Alberto Fernández 0.8%, Juan Grabois 0.8% and Eduardo "Wado" de Pedro 0.5%.
In the opposition, with Macri on the field,
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta takes less than one point from Patricia Bullrich (11.1% to 10.3%)
, the former president reaches 6.2% and then María Eugenia Vidal closes 2 8%, Gerardo Morales 2.8%, Facundo Manes 1.2% and Elisa Carrió 0.9%.
Javier Milei
, meanwhile, is alone among the libertarians and with 15.5% is the
second most elected
under Cristina.
Further away are Juan Schiaretti (PJ no K) with 4.3%, Myriam Bregman (Left Front) 1.7%, plus 5.8% "white" and 13.1% "I don't know".
In the second table, without the vice president (or Macri) the panorama turns dark red for the Front of All. With the sum of six applicants it does not reach 20 points. It remains in exact 19.4%, by 7.7% of Massa, 3.4% of Wado de Pedro, 3.3% of Scioli, 3.2% of Alberto Fernández, 1.7% of Grabois and 0.1 % of Juan Manzur.
As for
Together for Change
, the displacement of its leader has more repercussions on the internal order than on the total.
The alliance drops four tenths, but
Bullrich takes the lead
with 13.7%, followed by Larreta (12.2%), Vidal (3.4%), Morales (2.8%), Manes (1.9%) and Carrió (0.9%).
The rest?
Milei grows to 16.7%
, Schiaretti remains with 4.3%, Bregman with 2.5%, plus "white" 8.5% and "I don't know" 13.8%.
STEP for governor: the ruling party, also relegated
As for the
local fight
, the PASO measurement (they are on July 16, a month before the national ones) also
places the opposition at the top
, which is still debating whether to go all together or, as in 2021, in two alliances: Together for Change on the one hand and the Broad Progressive Front (FAP) on the other.
It was the possible agreement that Carrió dynamited days ago, when
he came out to denounce alleged complicity with the drug traffickers
of the socialists who make up the FAP and governed the province between 2007 and 2019.
In the CB
survey
, both coalitions were evaluated separately, leaving Frente de Todos in the middle.
With these numbers:
- Together for Change 30.2%: Carolina Losada 13.9%, Maximiliano Pullaro 11.4% and Federico Angelini 4.9%.
- Front of All 20.5%: Marcelo Lewandowski 14%, Leandro Busatto 5% and Roberto Mirabella 1.5%.
- Broad Progressive Front 12%: Pablo Javkin 7.8% and Clara García 4.2%.
- Romina Diez (Freedom Advances) 1.4%.
- Blank 14.7%.
- I don't know 21.4%.
look too
Two surveys measured the most anti-K provinces: in one Milei won and in the other the Frente de Todos came fourth
Alert in the Government: a new survey shows Juntos vote to vote with the ruling party in the Province