In Cagliari "more than a third of Northern League voters voted for Alessandra Todde".
This is the estimate contained in the Cattaneo institute's analysis of the results of the latest regional elections in Sardinia.
The study, however, defines "the share of Northern League voters who defected" in Sassari as "marginal".
If in Cagliari it is estimated that of the 3.6% of votes received by the League list, 1.5% went to support Todde as president (and 2.1% Paolo Truzzu), in Sassari the percentage for Todde - on the 2.6% to the list - drops to 0.3%.
The institute states that the data collected "do not allow a definitive answer to the question regarding the weight of the 'betrayals' of which, according to a widespread conjecture, the voters of the League are accused".
He then points out that "it would be improper to attribute" the responsibility for Truzzu's defeat "solely to the dissenting Northern League votes.
The analysis reveals that in both Sassari and Cagliari there were contributions to the centre-left candidate of overall equal or greater dimensions also coming from by the electorates of other centre-right parties".
Todde, in fact, emerges as "the only candidate who transversally intercepts votes coming from voters on the lists of other coalitions.
She obtains votes both from voters of the 'third pole' led by Renato Soru and from voters of centre-right parties".
The conclusion is that the Sardinian result, in its unexpected conclusion, "is mainly due to the characteristics glimpsed by the voters in the two main candidates, and above all by the personal attractiveness of the new president, strengthened by the strong understanding and convinced support of the Sardinian Democratic Party" ..
In Sassari, for example, it appears that 1.3% of the 7.5% of votes for the third pole list (which in Sardinia took the form of Action and More Europe's support for Soru) went to Todde and the 6th, 1% to Soru president.
In the same municipality, vice versa, it is estimated that 0.7% of those who expressed preferences for the PD list voted for Soru (16.2%).
Again here the new president would have received the favor of 0.9% of centre-right voters (0.3% of the League and an even higher percentage of those of FdI, 0.5%).
In Cagliari, 1% of FI voters (out of 5.2% of the list) would have voted for Todde and 0.3% for Soru.
It is estimated that the latter also received 1% of the votes of the Dem list (13.2%).
A percentage partially 'rewarded' by the votes of the so-called third pole that ended up in Todde (0.6 of the 5.8 on the list).
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