09/17/2021 12:06
Clarín.com
Economy
Updated 09/17/2021 12:07
The British weekly The Economist published today
an analysis of the official electoral defeat in Argentina and the turbulence that this unleashed inside the Government.
To the surprise of many, due to his more habitual sobriety, he
began his text with a sexual reference,
recalling the phrase that went viral from one of the most important candidates of the Frente de Todos to reach Congress, Victoria Tolosa Paz: "In Peronism it always got caught. "
"The reference on sex seemed to ignore more serious problems
", the weekly newspaper that played strong from the title refers in the first paragraph: "The voters gave a blow to the Peronist government coalition." The article reconstructs what the Argentine society on the government of Alberto Fernández.
"In a country where annual inflation exceeds 50% and unemployment is in the double digits,
voters have other concerns,"
which go beyond sex, warns the text inserted in the "The Americas" section. And he sums up: "In a nationwide vote on September 12, they signaled their disapproval of the ruling coalition, which won fewer votes than the opposition in 17 of the 24 districts.
Three days later, five ministers offered their resignation."
For the British publication,
the result of last Sunday "is an omen" of what will happen in the general election, which will take place on November 14 and that explains how difficult it will be for Alberto Fernández to govern the next two years.
"If the results are repeated in November, the ruling coalition could lose its majority in the Senate, as well as a significant number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies," he says.
The Economist analysis
Faced with this panorama and the results of the first instance on the table, the article assures that "it will be harder for (Alberto) Fernández to govern" and that "this may deepen the influence of the most radical wing of the coalition, led by Cristina Fernández de Kirchner ”.
To the weakness of the current government, the text The Economist puts before the strength that Horacio Rodriguez Larreta gains in the face of all this.
"The results also suggest that the opposition has a good chance of reaching the presidency in 2023," he highlights.
And he warns that although the head of government of the City did not appear among the options to vote, the good choice of his candidates gives him more weight than Mauricio Macri and Patricia Bullrich.
"
Other candidates could emerge
,
"
says the publication, and highlights the figure of Javier Milei, "a libertarian economist", who obtained 14% of the votes in the city of Buenos Aires.
"This could force the Pro, a center-right party, to become more right-wing," he adds.
Looking ahead to the 2023 elections, the article also dedicates a paragraph to the expectation of the market: "The hope of investors is that in 2023 an opposition victory will put an end to the failed attempts of the ruling party to stimulate the economy with regulations , exchange controls, price freezes and export bans ".
YN
Look also
Marcelo Casaretto: "The agreement with the IMF must not go through conditions of Argentine policy"
The Government will have to raise electricity and gas rates to comply with the 2022 Budget