No, world trade will not suffer too much from the war in Ukraine.
In any case not if the conflict remains at the same level of intensity or decreases.
This is one of the lessons of the study on the evolution of international trade commissioned by DHL Express.
“Even if the forecasts were revised downwards with the war, the growth of world trade is expected at 3.7% in 2022-2023 against 2.8% over the period 2012-2021”,
affirms Steven Altman, the professor at New York University, which coordinated this study.
Good news for one of the world leaders in express delivery: like UPS and FedEx, the German DHL Express makes the bulk of its sales by repatriating or transporting goods to the other side of the world.
And this division of the DPDHL company, which also includes the German post office (Deutsche Post) and freight forwarding activities, is decisive for the good health of the group: in the first half, DHL Express made nearly 48% of the profit…
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