2022 ended with a record inflation figure.
from December to December the accumulated figure was 94.8%. Even in the last month of last year, despite a slight drop, the CPI remained high at 5.1%.
According to specialists, the start of 2023 will not be much better.
Food, prepaid, rates and fuel, are the items indicated as responsible for showing a high number again.
For the EcoGo consultancy, led by Marina Dal Poggetto, the CPI data
for January would stand at 5.6%
, 0.2 percentage points above what was expected last week.
"
This is mainly due to a record of inflation in food that is slightly higher than estimated
," the company that analyzes prices indicated in a paper
.
The analysis made on the second week of January shows
a variation of 1.2% in the price of food,
compared to the previous week.
"With this data and considering a projection of a weekly variation of 0.8% for the next two weeks of the month,
inflation for food consumed at home in January would climb to 4.4% per month,"
they pointed out from the firm.
Another item that will have a strong impact on the January data will be regulated products, highlighting the
increases in prepaid
(6.5%),
fuel
(2%), and
gas, electricity and water rates
(14.1%, 19.6 % and 20.1% respectively),
domestic service
(6.5%),
bus and train fares in AMBA
(between 20% and 70% depending on the service), among others”, they highlighted.
In line with a survey prepared by another consulting firm, LCG, in the third week of January
there was a 1.6% rise in food and beverages
, which implies an acceleration of 0.76 percentage points, compared to the previous week.
The document highlights the rise in vegetables, which climbed 6.9%;
followed much further behind by dairy products and eggs (5.7%).
Meats, for their part, had a 0.3% retraction in price.
The latest Survey of Market Expectations (REM) carried out by private analysts from the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic (BCRA) indicated that 2023 will close with a Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 98.4%, compared to 94.8 % with which it ended 2022.
The latest REM survey estimates that this month's CPI
will be 5.5%
, that is, 0.4 percentage points above December's inflation.
NS
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