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Bonds fall up to 4% and country risk is around 2,000 points

2023-02-13T18:28:24.959Z


The blue dollar rises one peso and trades at $378. Argentine shares rebound on Wall Street. Argentine bonds in dollars fall up to 4% at the opening of this week, which adds tension to the market and pushes country risk to the brink of 2,000 basis points. The most marked fall among the main bonds is that of Global 29 in dollars, which fell 4.1% this Monday . Other papers also started the week with a decline, such as the AL41 in dollars, which fell 2.5%, while the rest of the sovereign ti


Argentine bonds in dollars

fall up to 4%

at the opening of this week, which adds tension to the market and

pushes country risk to the brink of 2,000 basis points.

The most marked fall among the main bonds is that of Global 29 in dollars, which

fell 4.1% this Monday

.

Other papers also started the week with a decline, such as the AL41 in dollars, which fell 2.5%, while

the rest of the sovereign titles in hard currency showed falls of around 1%.

This pushes up country risk, the JP Morgan indicator that measures the over-rate of Argentine debt, which this Monday adds 0.2% and reaches

1,965 basis points.

In this way, it is once again close to 2,000 points, a record that it has not touched since the beginning of January.

Thus, the objective announced by Minister Sergio Massa of allocating

US$ 1,000 million

to repurchase debt to reduce country risk and thus make credit cheaper for Argentine companies is not being met.

From the announcement on January 18 until now, the government has already allocated 

US$594 million

to this operation, according to an estimate by Aurum Valores.

This deepens the outflow of foreign currency.

Thus, the net reserves, the true firepower of the Central, barely reaches

US$3 billion,

which forces Massa to look for fresh currency and speed up a US$1 billion loan with international banks. 

Nor was the objective of sustaining the price of government bonds met. 

"Today the bonds are below the value prior to the Massa plan," they maintain in Aurum.

Instead, the bond repurchase strategy would be working to anchor the price of financial dollars.

This is what has been happening with the MEP dollar, which is traded on the Buenos Aires stock market, which is trading at

$355

, an increase of 0.4%, while in the month it barely moved 0.1%.

In the case of cash with liquidity, it falls 0.5% on this wheel to

$369.3

and reaches the same price as at the beginning of February.

In January, financial dollars had risen around 8%.

In the case of the blue dollar, it rises one peso to

$378.

So far this year

it has risen 32 pesos

, but it is still below the peak of

$381

it touched on January 9.

With this, the gap in relation to the wholesale dollar, today at

$191.6,

reaches

96%.

ADR jump

In contrast to bonds,

Argentine shares rise up to 6% this Monday in New York.

Cresud climbs 6.2%, while YPF jumps 5.8%.

The podium of those that rise the most is completed by the Supervielle, Galicia and BBVA banks, all three with 5.4%. 


On the stock side,

the Merval rises 2.4%

and accumulates a rise of 26.6% in the year, thus maintaining the positive trend it registered in 2022 and which

allowed it to jump 121%

and beat inflation of 94.8% in 2022

.

AQ

look also

Crosses between the chief of advisers of Alberto Fernández and a deputy of Lavagna for a new tax

The government already recognizes that inflation in January exceeds 5% and prepares the ground for bad news

Source: clarin

All business articles on 2023-02-13

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