The caveat is clear. In an interview given Tuesday morning to RMC and BFMTV, Jean-François Delfraissy, the president of the Scientific Council, estimated that the current figures of Covid-19 in France are "worrying" and that the country can "switch" in a situation like that which prevails in Catalonia.
Jean-François Delfraissy worried about "a series of particularly important clusters" in "very little affected areas in particular in the West". “We are on a somewhat unstable ridge line. The figures are not good, they are worrying, ”he repeated several times. According to him, the most probable hypothesis is the arrival of a "second wave" from the South "for the period October-November-December".
Coronavirus: Jean-François Delfraissy does not rule out a second wave "arriving from the South for the period October-November-December" pic.twitter.com/AbIjImic1b
- BFMTV (@BFMTV) July 21, 2020"None of the indicators is totally red, however, he recalled. We can see very well how France can stay on this crest line with difficulty for the coming weeks, by being very armed, by using tests, by surrounding the clusters in a very massive way, or on the contrary tipping into something that looks like more to Spain, to Catalonia ”.
The decree on the wearing of the compulsory mask in closed places "was essential", he said. "It is striking to see that the French have lost the great notions of distancing, of great precaution", he stressed, admitting that this relaxation could be understood.
Delfraissy worries about "the most precarious populations"
Jean-François Delfraissy warned in particular of the danger presented by the “somewhat special behaviors” of “super-contaminators”: the danger is maximum “if we associate a person who behaves like a super-contaminator, plus a closed place, no longer a gathering ”.
"It is we who have our future" in this summer period, "who will be able to have an epidemic a little managed with a virus which continues to circulate and too many clusters", he warned. By not requiring the wearing of a mask on May 11, "we appealed to civic responsibility," he recalled.
Professor Delfraissy worried about “the most precarious populations, people who can fall into precariousness. 93 (Seine-Saint-Denis) is more affected than other departments, French people of foreign origin have a higher mortality rate ”.
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These populations "are weakened", "if we allow a larger Covid infection to restart in these populations, it will be for the entire population," he warned. Jean-François Delfraissy indicated that the health authorities were working to "simplify access to tests" to "make them easier and completely free". Free masks and tests is "a discussion that will be put on the table in the days to come," he said.