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Covid-19: why the decline of the epidemic promises to be slower than last spring


DECRYPTION -Le Figaro interviewed several experts in epidemiology, and reveals the table of changes in incidence rates in all French departments.

A little more than two weeks after the implementation of the new restrictive measures, the epidemic peak finally seems to have passed.

The number of daily contaminations has been falling for more than five days, dropping from 43,000 to 32,000 between April 14 and 19.

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Daily admissions to hospital and intensive care units are also declining.

We received 495 patients per day in intensive care at the beginning of last week, against 435 this Monday (figure calculated on a sliding average of 7 days).

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On the other hand, the bed occupancy rate is still alarming, with nearly 6,000 people currently in intensive care, a record for nearly a year.

The virus's reproduction number is now less than 1, which means the epidemic is losing ground.

The pressure on healthcare systems should therefore gradually ease in the coming days.

The reopening of schools

But the game is not yet won.

"The drop in incidence is much less

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Source: lefigaro

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