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COP26: on the way to a warming limited to 2 ° C in 2100?

2021-11-09T18:20:04.354Z


Provided they are respected, the commitments made at COP26 would a priori be compatible with the objective of the Paris Agreement.


The world may be on track to limit global warming to + 2 ° C towards the end of the century, the minimum target set by the Paris agreement in 2015. Unep (United Nations Environment Program ) estimated on Tuesday that the rise in temperatures could be between 1.9 ° C and 2.1 ° C in 2100, provided that all new countries' greenhouse gas reductions pledges and initiatives unveiled at the COP26 last week, be well implemented.

On November 4, 33 additional countries announced their voluntary national contributions by 2030, bringing their number to 154. These additional commitments will increase countries' emissions reductions by 0.7 billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent in 2030. Saudi Arabia and China each account for 30% of this further reduction.

The rest comes from international air transport, maritime and adjustments from other countries.

Around 2.4 ° C

In addition to these new commitments, the estimate takes into account initiatives

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Source: lefigaro

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