The Democratic candidate is on track to win 270 electors, but President Trump is expected to use all his weight to create a narrative of "election theft" through the Democrats' mass vote in the mail • Meanwhile, the battle for consciousness continues • Will the Supreme Court intervene?
For the first time in almost 30 years, the United States is facing a real possibility that a president will be replaced after just one term. Left without a decision.
Photo: Reuters
Although officially everything is open because the Donald Trump campaign will ask for recount counts and try to verify allegations of mass forgery and may even lead to court intervention that will drag the decision until December, in practice, it seems that in the coming days major US networks such as CNN and Fox On a final decision of the race, and the chances are that Joe Biden will reach 270 and be declared President-elect of the United States.
As of last night, following the end of the vote count in Michigan and Wisconsin in the Midwest, the networks announced that these two states are expected to give their electors to Joe Biden - which means he stands at 264 electors.
Today the countdown in Nevada is expected to resume, giving 6 electors to its winner.
If he wins the money state, as the best commentators believe in light of the country's long-standing tendency to be "blue," he will reach exactly the threshold needed to be president - 270 electors out of a total of 538.
Apart from Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania also remained as states without a decision (Alaska too, but not because of a close count but because there is not enough data, and it will certainly be in favor of Trump).
That means even if Biden does not get Nevada due to a delay in counting the votes or in the face of legal petitions and other delays, he could reach 270 through victory in another of the other three states - Pennsylvania, Georgia or North Carolina.
It is currently estimated that Georgia and Pennsylvania are expected to complete the full count with their hands on the top, after the remaining ballot papers arrive from the mail and are counted in full.
Trump still has a theoretical capacity to reach 270 electors (he currently stands at 214), but to do so, he must win in all the states that remain close: Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada and North Carolina.
It is hard to see a scenario that he does this without court intervention or a recount that would go beyond mass forgeries or mishaps of a huge magnitude.
Photo: Reuters
In the political sense, it seems that both sides are preparing for a battle for consciousness.
While Biden intends to market himself as an elected president in the coming days to create momentum, and perhaps even announce expected policy measures and appointments with his inauguration in January, President Trump is expected to use all his weight as incumbent president to create a "theft" election narrative , Which he claims is saturated with problems due to the inability to control the voting method remotely.
In a legal sense, Trump already seems to be working to recount the number, and is also interested in court intervention to prevent many voting forms still in the mail from being counted, arguing that it is not known when they were actually filled out.
America is entering a "post-election" campaign that will be as passionate and tough as the real campaign, but whatever the outcome - by the beginning of December the states will decide who to give their electorate to, and on December 14 the electorate will vote for a new president.
On January 6, 2021, after Congress counts the electors, the newly elected president will be officially announced, and he will swear allegiance to the U.S. Constitution two weeks later.