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Editor's Note: Carlos Alberto Montaner is a writer and political analyst at CNN. His columns are published in dozens of newspapers in Spain, the United States and Latin America. Montaner is also vice president of the Liberal International.
(CNN Spanish) - I do not believe that his mandate can be revoked. This would require the vote of two thirds of the senators, 67 people, and I do not think they are obtained in an institution predominantly dominated by Republicans.
If that outcome is predictable, why do Democrats resort to impeachment? Because 2020 is an election year and perhaps they think of weakening Trump's image. The problem is that he will also suffer the image of Joe Biden, until now the candidate with the best chance of defeating Trump.
Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren is the great beneficiary of this conflict. It has practically the same support as Biden, but continues to rise in the polls. In my opinion, she will soon leave Bernie Sanders behind and, if the campaign does not get distorted, she will probably be the Democratic candidate.
READ: Montaner: Trump uses protectionist policies to win reelection
Of course, many Americans wonder if the country is ready to be chaired by a woman. My guess is yes and for many years. Senator Warren is a serious person, with a good academic level, and offers her answers to all major electoral issues, almost always from a social democratic perspective:
- More public spending
- More social programs
- Greater investment in public housing
- Greater gun control
- No to the death penalty
- Conditional aid in university loan payments and the health paid by the State
Etc. Etc.
I don't think Warren, if he won the presidency, can carry out such a deep social democratic reform. To some extent it clashes with the individualistic tradition of the United States, although societies, of course, change.
For example, the majority of "millennials," that generation that emerged in the 1980s and reaches the early years of the 21st century, vaguely describes itself as "socialist."
In any case, that of 2020 would be a very interesting electoral battle, Trump against Warren, but to get there the senator must win the nomination of her party and that, still, is not certain.
impeachment Political Judgment to Donald Trump