The Likud faces two strategies for the elections: the first, to focus on the front line confrontation between the seams between it and the opponents in the center-left bloc, mainly blue and white. It's a shame the Likud gets into a trap and wastes resources: these are tough seam lines and there will be no change in the next two months. Audiences in psychosis around the slogan "Just not Bibi" will not be convinced by the political successes and the strength of the relationship with the US leadership, nor the realization of Israel's dream of exporting energy to Arab countries, and soon to Europe. These and other successes will not reduce hatred and rejection against the Likud and its leader, Netanyahu, who is democratically elected whom Gantz and Torch can only envy.

The second, more recommended strategy is to adopt a pattern of action by which Barack Obama worked with Republicans. Obama did not succeed in delivering audiences from Republican supporters to the Democratic camp, but deepened his grip on previously democratized audiences, leading to these strongholds of support, especially among African-Americans, significantly increasing their voter turnout.

The Likud must choose a strategy of deepening its grip on cities and communities that it has had proven support for in the past. The Likud-led right did not exhaust its electoral power at all, which ranged from a relatively low voting percentage swinging between 60 and 65 percent. This is when the turnout for the 20th Knesset (2015) was 72.34 percent and the 22nd Knesset (2019) was 69.83. Add to this the fact that there is a decrease in the percentage of voters in localities where the Likud voting rate is around 30 - 40 percent. This drop, which ranges from 1.2 to 4.7 percent, is apparently not large, but it determines the final result of the election. The encouraging figure is that in most of the Likud-supported communities, there was an increase in the Likud voting rate between 2015 and 2019. This means that Likud supporters remained loyal and even supported them.

The victory now depends solely on the percentage of voters. The effort to discredit the Likud, its leaders, and especially its leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, has failed completely in Likud-supported communities. The people there know what is good for them and realize that the most rational move for them is to choose Likud. The Likud's delegitimization campaign, and no fault of its leaders, was unsuccessful as it was this party that led to a reduction in social disparities.

Words such as "social justice" and "equality," which the left subject vainly and boldly, became everyday acts at Ashkelon College and Sapir College, Netanya College, Achva College and Safed College. And in the words of Prof. Amnon Rubinstein, one of the College Revolution initiators, who stated in 2018: "There is a consensus that the college project succeeded, the great regret is that it was delayed because for 30 years there was a cartel of universities that caused immense damage to Israeli society, which cannot be described at all. Of professors have determined the fate of Israeli society, and the economy as a whole ... The fact that universities set the bar for entry creates a threat to Israeli society. There is no doubt that the proportion of Mizrahi students was very low because of this. "

The Likud is the one that led the opening of gates to academia, academic degrees and the integration of new groups in law, economics, accounting and education. This revolution that members of the "high culture" sought to block and stop - was realized by their Likud and their anger by the Likud.

The goal of Miri Regev and Israel Katz, the current election campaign managers, is to lead a 70 percent voter turnout in Likud communities. Then victory is guaranteed.

Whatever they say in blue and white, the Likud will only win if it succeeds in increasing 5 percent in localities where its presence is constant, large and stable. The depth of the Likud's "pocket" is significantly greater than that of its rivals.

Dr. Uri Cohen is a senior lecturer in the School of Education at Tel Aviv University