The Limited Times

Now you can see non-English news...

UN2020 assessment: Iran will have enough uranium to bomb in a year | Israel today

2020-01-14T16:14:27.328Z


Security


According to IDF intelligence, Iranians will continue to enrich uranium and get even closer to bomb • Tehran will try to hit Israel with Islamic Jihad • Nasrallah "ready to respond to war" • Hamas wants calm

The IDF (Military Intelligence Division) has submitted its annual intelligence assessment for 2020, and the headline is again - the Iranian danger.

"There is a low likelihood of a proactive war in 2020," according to the AMN, led by Maj. Gen. Tamir Heyman. However, "there is a moderate to high likelihood of preserving response equations in the northern arena, ready for war risk." It is estimated that if Israel operates in Syria or Lebanon - the other side will necessarily respond, and will not contain the events.

According to the UN, the Sulaymani assassination is a "restraining event" for Iranians in the near term, and a positive event for Israel. The UN recommends that the political echelon intensify the attacks against Iranians in Syria in 2020 to block the Iranians and take advantage of the Sulimani assassination to remove them from Syria. In addition, the Israel Defense Forces states that it should step up monitoring of nuclear activity in Iran by 2020.

Iran will continue to enrich uranium

Iranians want defiance in nuclear project to resume negotiations with United States to renew nuclear agreement from which Trump resigned. Some of the crackdown began in 2019 in a series of actions by the Iranians, most notably the overthrow of the US drone, the oil tankers attack, and the missile and hover attack on Saudi oil facilities in September.

The report states that by winter 2020, Iranians will be able to reach enough bomb-enriched material - if they continue to enrich uranium as a defiance to exit the nuclear deal by Trump. If the Iranians decide to go for a nuclear bomb, the UN estimates that it will take them another two years to reach the capability to turn the enriched uranium into a nuclear bomb. Iran is refraining from removing UN inspectors, and it wants to renew the nuclear agreement.

The Iranians do not hold a plutogenic orbit, and they continue to enrich the uranium enrichment, enriching low-enriched uranium for a number of bombs.

Iran is getting closer to nuclear. PM Netanyahu Unveils Iran's Nuclear Site // Photo: Kobi Ben Gideon

According to the UN, Iran's ruler Khamenei has tough decisions in 2020: the future of the nuclear project, the future of Iranian consolidation in the Middle East after the Sulimani liquidation, as well as budget and internal political problems.

Iran is now re-evaluating its policy in the Middle East after the Sulimani liquidation, which is considered the architect of establishment. Suleimani's replacement, Kaani, is considered to be at least charismatic, and this will further the importance of Hassan Nasrallah in Iran's efforts, the AMF said.

The Intelligence Division defines 2020 as an "age of acceleration" in which there is no real intelligence for intelligence to make an annual forecast. After the elimination of the Qods Force commander Kassem Suleimani by the Americans, the Intelligence Division updated its assessment for 2020.

"Economics that lives on reserves and faith"

The IMF estimates that the extreme Shi'ite axis that Iran is leading in the Middle East is the main system that Israel is also facing in 2020. The IMF estimates that Iran is undergoing significant economic weakening following the abolition of oil export exemptions, and a drop from 2.8 million barrels of oil per day to 300 Only 400,000 by the Iranians.

According to the UN, Iran is in its most challenging period. The Iranian public's interest in Shiite religion is declining. Artist.

The Iranian forces believe that Iran is trying to provoke "deep action" (Israel) by supporting Palestinian terrorist organizations against Israel, led by Islamic Jihad in Gaza. By force, Iranian Quds Iran commands Said Izadi, head of the Palestinian branch of the Quds Force.

Iran wants to prepare the Golan Heights and the Lebanese border as a maneuvering space for maneuvering and leaping for storm troops. Iran is trying to establish fire bases and logistical mediation in Iraq and Yemen, with Iran itself being the industrial and economic strategic depth. The IAF states that the Iranian nuclear is the means of spreading the revolution, and a means of protecting the Iranian regime - in their view.

"Hizbullah's Protected Space Cracking"

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, according to the Intelligence Division, did not really like that Sulaymani wanted revenge on Israel for his attacks - by recruiting Lebanese activists, saying to Sulimani: "Revenge with your people."

In attacking the skiers in Beirut's rejection that Nasrallah attributes to Israel, "the space of immunity" that Nasrallah thought he enjoyed, and which Israel would not attack in Lebanon, cracked down. For him, Nasrallah is prepared to respond to Israeli operations to the brink of war in the north, and to the sight - a Cornet anti-aircraft missile fire fired on an IDF ambulance in September in Virivon, an operation whose goal - which was not achieved - was to cause IDF fatalities.

Documentation: The IDF has practiced combat readiness scenarios in the north

Photo: IDF Spokesman

Hizbullah is considered to be Qassim Suleimani's most successful project. Lebanon has a failing economy and 25 percent unemployment, and there are "Hezbollah differentiation budgets from Iran," according to the AM report.

Gaza: Hamas wants calm

According to the Israel Defense Forces, Hamas rode the fence parades - and then they flipped it over, until they had to bring 'restraining forces' so that the events on the fence would not slide into a new Israeli operation in the Gaza Strip. Operation 'Closed Garden' in May 2019 was a design event for Hamas Who realized that he was only losing in the rounds of war with Israel, as the "Black Belt" round was an operative event for the Islamic Jihad, in which the head of Jihad Baha Abu al-Ata was recalled.

Return demonstrations // Photo: AFP

The UN talks about the "bachelor's apartment" to demonstrate the dynamics in Gaza: Hamas and Jihad removed the Palestinian Authority and opened a "bachelor's apartment" in Gaza, but then his older brother, Hamas, says he has to worry about the Gaza Strip. And wants long-term relaxation. But in the meanwhile, he continues to build his power for a possible war, restraining Islamic Jihad.

The Palestinian Authority will not break tools

An artist continues to wave a "strategic alert", as he has been doing for two years, about a possible deterioration in the Occupied Territories until the third Intifada. Hamas warns that in the event of free elections in the Occupied Territories, Hamas may be elected. Abu Mazen will continue the political campaign against Israel in 2020, the Palestinian Authority "on the brink" without breaking tools. Terrorism is declining in quantity but improving.

US trend - get out of the Middle East

The United States remains the world's strongest and most powerful superpower in the Middle East, and since Trump's announcement of a supposed retreat, the United States has boosted 18,000 troops in the Middle East. As for US attacks in Iraq, the US estimates it has exceeded Iranian expectations And undermined the security of Iran's Shiite axis.

However, the United States estimates that the general trend of the United States since Obama's arrival has been to leave the Middle East, as it sees China and Russia as the main arena, and the Middle East is unmatched.

Russia in Syria to stay

An artist's assessment is that the Russians seek to shape a consciousness and image of a superpower. They are adopting a realistic strategy that is also effective, and the Russian trend is to remain in the Middle East with emphasis on Syria.

Putin and Assad // Photo: AP

Syria is the middle country and the weakest link in the Iranian system, where everyone is stirring. The Russian presence is there to stay. The Syrian army is rebuilding and has started to rebuild weapons that were destroyed in the war. By 2020, Iran and Syria will try to conquer the pockets of Idlib and the north occupied by Turkey. Iranians hold about 800 Iranians in total on Syrian soil.

Source: israelhayom

All news articles on 2020-01-14

Similar news:

Trends 24h

Latest

© Communities 2019 - Privacy

The information on this site is from external sources that are not under our control.
The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation or endorse the views expressed within them.