Which parties win the most votes in the local elections in Bavaria? According to surveys, there are clear winners - and losers.
- On March 15, 2020 there will be local elections in Bavaria ”.
- CSU, Free Voters and Greens do well in polls for the Free State.
- A poll reveals what is important to voters when determining the outcome of the 2020 local election.
Munich - who will have the political majorities in Bavaria over the next six years? A question that is not easy to answer. The 2020 municipal election in Bavaria is about 39,000 political mandates in 2056 independent Bavarian municipalities. But there are indications: For example, the Bavarian Radio had 1004 voters in Bavaria polled for the “BayernTrend” in January before the election.
The result: If there had been a state election at that time, the Greens could have counted on 25 percent of the vote. The CSU would have reached 36 percent . Free voters and AfD would have come to 10 percent each, the FDP to only 4 percent - and they would have flown out of the Bavarian state parliament. This BR poll is also bad news for the SPD: It dropped to 7 percent of the vote. The left would have got 3 percent .
Unfortunately, the calculation is not that simple if you choose at the municipal level. Accurate polls on local elections in Bavaria are only available for larger cities, such as Munich. What can be expected in small communities cannot be derived directly from the national surveys.
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Poll on the local elections in Bavaria: CSU and free voters receive praise - Greens as well
A coalition of CSU and free voters has ruled in the Bavarian state parliament since 2018. 61 percent of those surveyed stated in the “BayernTrend” that they were satisfied with their government work. The Greens did the best in terms of the opposition's performance: 48 percent supported their work.
The makers of the survey emphasized that two months before the date of the local elections in Bavaria in 2020, the level of interest among the population was high. 74 percent of those questioned were "very strongly" (31 percent) or "strongly" (43 percent) interested in the topic. The remaining 26 percent therefore had “no pronounced” or “no interest at all” in the Bavarian elections.
An interesting point in the poll on local elections in Bavaria: Bavarian voters pay attention to the candidate not only among mayors and district administrators (direct election). The person of the politician is also important to them in the local parliaments, where they can promote certain candidates by means of the accumulation and variation. 85 percent stated that they were guided by their decision. 75 percent attach great importance to the content of statements made by the parties and lists, the survey says.
Just a little more than a month until the #2020 municipal election in Bavaria ⏲️ What questions are you burning on this topic? Send them to us under the hashtag #FragMerkur and we will answer them in time for the poll on March 15th #MerkurWahlberichte pic.twitter.com/zHaQ08MW9h
- Merkur.de (@merkur_de) February 12, 2020Greens in the poll High before 2020 local elections: ambition for 700 new mandates
The Greens hope for the top poll values before the local elections in Bavaria 2020: They want to get around 700 new mandates, as parliamentary group leader Ludwig Hartmann explained. A total of 2500 green local politicians should be reached. The party wants to compete with lists in all Bavarian cities with more than 10,000 inhabitants.
In the last local elections six years ago, the Greens achieved their best result in the Free State with 10.2 percent. In the 2019 European elections, they reached 31.2 percent in Munich - well ahead of the SPD. The CSU won almost five percent of the vote in the state capital in 2014 - however, nationwide the party achieved less than 40 percent for the first time in decades. For the SPD there was a historically poor result in Bavaria with 20.7 percent.
In some Bavarian cities there are concrete polls before the election, in others it is not clear whether voters can expect forecasts before March 15. Here you will find the current status from the cities of Nuremberg, Augsburg, Regensburg, Ingolstadt and Passau.
* Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network.
frs with material from dpa