Lifting containment without having developed an exit strategy would lead to a second wave of coronavirus epidemic which would overwhelm the health system, according to an Inserm study published on Sunday covering the Île-de-France region.
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According to the researchers, who modeled the impact of containment in the region, only an intensive search for carriers of the virus, the implementation of tests and the placement in isolation of the contaminated people will allow the containment measures to be relaxed a little. "Social distancing" in effect since March 17. They cite among the first possible softenings a return to work of a larger number of employees and a gradual restart of certain activities while initially keeping schools closed and the elderly confined.
In their study, revealed by Le Monde , researchers from Inserm, the Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health and Sorbonne University also estimate that "between 1 and 6%" the proportion of the population in the region contaminated on April 5.